Best NFL quarterback bets for the 2022 season
Justin Herbert and the Los Angeles Chargers should be in a lot of high-scoring games this season. Photo by Marcio Jose Sanchez/AP.

Quarterback is king in the NFL and cash is king in betting. We're combining the two to give you our best bets for the position in 2022.

The most important position in the NFL is also a favourite for bettors. From MVP bets to player touchdown props, we've selected five bets we're looking to wager on before the season starts.

Check out the best NFL quarterback bets to make for the 2022 season.

Best NFL quarterback bets overview

NFL quarterback betsOddsBet now
Best bet: Kirk Cousins over 31.5 TDs-112Add to betslip
Best bet: Justin Herbert to finish with most passing yards+550Add to betslip
Best bet: Lamar Jackson to win NFL MVP+1,800Add to betslip
Long shot: Trevor Lawrence to win NFL MVP+8,000Add to betslip
Fade: Davis Mills to finish with most interceptions thrown+800Add to betslip

Odds as of 4:17 p.m. on 08/31/2022.

Best NFL QB bets

Kirk Cousins over 31.5 touchdowns (-112)

Cousins' touchdown prop for the 2022 season is -112 on either side but the value is on the over.

The pocket passer has been held back for years by old-school football coach Mike Zimmer's run-first offence. Cousins still managed to throw for 35 and 33 touchdowns, respectively, in each of the past two seasons despite Zimmer's archaic tactics.

There's every reason to believe that he'll shatter those numbers with new head coach Kevin O'Connell at the helm.

O'Connell comes to the Minnesota Vikings as a disciple of the Sean McVay coaching tree. The 37-year-old is also very familiar with Cousins as he worked with him as the QB coach of the Washington Commanders in 2017.

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NFC North betting preview
Jordan Horrobin

Lots of excitement surrounds Minnesota's offence in 2022 and Cousins doesn't even need to improve his previous numbers to hit the over on this total. Sign us up.

Justin Herbert to finish with most passing yards (+550)

Herbert's the favourite to lead the NFL in passing yards by the odds with good reason.

The Los Angeles Chargers gunslinger followed up his exceptional rookie campaign with a sensational sophomore season. Herbert threw for 5,014 passing yards which finished second only to Tom Brady in 2021.

Herbert is poised to take another statistical step forward in 2022 and lead the league in passing yards because of the division he plays in. The Chargers play in the AFC West with the Kansas City Chiefs, Denver Broncos, and Las Vegas Raiders. That's the strongest collection of offences in any division which means there'll be plenty of shootouts on his schedule.

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AFC West betting preview
Nick Ashbourne

The Chargers also play against the NFC West, which includes the Los Angeles Rams, San Francisco 49ers, and Arizona Cardinals. Those all profile to be high-scoring affairs which will help balloon Herbert's yearly totals.

Lamar Jackson to win NFL MVP (+1,800)

The narrative is there for Jackson to grab ahold of his second NFL MVP award.

The dual-threat QB was limited to just 12 games last year due to injury. The Baltimore Ravens were 6-3 and one of the top teams in the AFC before he missed his first game of the season.

Jackson played just three more games the rest of the campaign, the Ravens went 2-6 down the stretch and missed the playoffs.

Jackson is returning to full health in 2022 and Baltimore is favoured to win the AFC North as a result. The QB is also entering a contract year as the Ravens have not given him an extension. The game-breaker has been adamant that he has no desire to negotiate a new deal during the season, too.

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AFC North betting preview
Avery Perri

The Jackson for MVP case is simple. The QB absolutely balls out in a contract year and takes a Ravens team that fell out of contention without him to the top of the AFC North and potentially AFC as a whole. Voters will eat that up.

Best NFL quarterback bets: The long shot

Trevor Lawrence to win NFL MVP (+8,000)

Most of the top QBs in the NFL who have a reasonable case to win MVP have been priced up to untouchable ranges. Lawrence is the only one when looking deep down the board that we can vouch for.

The 2022 first overall pick has the same odds to win as fellow passers Baker Mayfield, Ryan Tannehill, and Carson Wentz. None of those quarterbacks even remotely have the same upside as Lawrence and that alone demonstrates the value that there is on his +8,000 price.

The path Lawrence takes to win this award is quite simple to explain. A historically horrible head coach in Urban Meyer completely derailed his rookie year and an accomplished, offensive-minded head coach in Doug Pederson gets him back on track.

Some people may scoff at the idea, but recent history says do not underestimate the underdog. Cincinnati Bengals QB Joe Burrow took a massive leap into stardom in 2022 that shocked the entire football world.

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AFC South betting preview
Jordan Horrobin

The Jacksonville Jaguars dished out $175.3 million in guaranteed money in an effort to improve their roster this offseason. Lawrence could be the latest to make a monumental sophomore jump.

Best NFL quarterback bet to fade

Davis Mills to finish with most interceptions thrown (+800)

People aren't talking about it nearly enough but Mills was quite clearly the second-best rookie QB by the numbers in 2021.

The Houston Texans passer started 11 games last year and finished with a respectable 88.8 quarterback rating, ranking second among rookie QBs with 100-plus pass attempts. His 4.1% touchdown percentage and 16 touchdowns also slotted in at No. 2.

The third-round pick showed an ability to take care of the football. He threw just 10 interceptions and his 2.5% interception percentage tied Mac Jones for the lowest mark among freshmen.

Mills is tied with Justin Fields for the shortest odds in this category despite all of this. Jones is listed at +2,500 and that's closer to the ballpark Mills should be in.

Fields is a much stronger bet to pace the NFL in INTs than Mills. Don't bite on this one.

NorthStar Bets editorial Insiders have no influence, direct or otherwise, over the setting of odds advertised on our platforms.