Odds to win the AFC East: Bills still favourites after loss to Dolphins
Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills are still the odds-on favourites to win the AFC East. Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills are still the odds-on favourites to win the AFC East. Photo by Wilfredo Lee /AP.

Week 3 made it pretty obvious that the AFC East is a two-horse race.

The latest: The Miami Dolphins earned a thrilling, 21-19 win over the Buffalo Bills. Those who were expecting some serious odds movement after the loss are going to be disappointed, however, as things remained relatively unchanged.

Here are the latest AFC East odds.

AFC East odds

Check out the latest odds to win the AFC East. Click linked odds to add selection to betslip.

TeamOdds (Sept. 27)Odds (Sept. 20)
Buffalo Bills-250-335
Miami Dolphins+220+333
New England Patriots+2,000+1,000
New York Jets+6,000+4,500

Odds as of 2:22 p.m. on 09/27/2022.

Best AFC East odds

The favourite: Bills (-250)

Buffalo's odds to win the division took a pretty insignificant dip after its loss to Miami.

The Bills went from being -335 favourites to -250 following Sunday's game. The movement isn't enough to say that there's now sudden value on Buffalo to win the division, but rather a sign that one loss doesn't move the needle all that much.

If there's one cause for concern with the Bills, it's injuries. Defensive starters like Micah Hyde, Dane Jackson, Ed Oliver, Jordan Poyer, and Tre'Davious White were all shelved in Week 3 due to health.

Aside from Hyde, all those players are expected to return this season, and sooner rather than later for most. Even with all those key players out of the lineup, Buffalo held Miami to just 21 points.

The Bills have allowed just 38 points through three weeks, tying the Jacksonville Jaguars for the fourth-best mark.

Buffalo's roster can hang with any team in the NFL, and Josh Allen's brilliance makes them one of the NFL's truly elite teams. While some squads in this division are ascending, the Bills are still worthy of holding down the top spot.

Other AFC East choices

Best value: Dolphins (+220)

If you were inclined to fade Buffalo, Miami's the team to go with.

Miami downed the Bills, 21-19, in a hard-fought battle in Week 3, usurping the Bills for the No. 1 seed in the AFC East with a 3-0 record.

This win came on the heels of the Dolphinds' 21-point deficit entering the fourth quarter against Baltimore in Week 2 — before Miami stormed back for a 42-38 win. Tua Tagovailoa threw for 469 yards and six touchdowns in that triumph.

Both of Miami's speedy receivers — Jaylen Waddle and Tyreek Hill — have enjoyed solid seasons thus far. Waddle ranks second in the NFL with 342 receiving yards, while Hill sits third with 317.

Bettors who believed in Miami before its win against Buffalo got in at a better number, but there's still value here at +220.

Team to watch: Jets (+6,000)

Is Gang Green going to win the division? Likely not, but their number to do so is much more enticing than the Patriots.

New York lost handily to the Ravens in Week 1. Joe Flacco chucked the ball 59 times in the loss and averaged 5.2 yards per attempt. The team bounced back with a wild 31-30 comeback win over the Cleveland Browns in Week 2 before crashing back to earth in a 27-12 loss to the Cincinnati Bengals.

New York was serious about bolstering the roster around sophomore QB Zach Wilson this past offseason. The Jets went out and signed Laken Tomlinson to a three-year, $40 million deal and Morgan Moses to a three-year, $15 million contract.

New York also improved its talent at offensive skill positions in the draft, using one of its three first-round selections on Garrett Wilson, before circling back in the second round to nab Breece Hall.

The Jets spent their other two first-round picks on Ahmad "Sauce" Gardner and Jermaine Johnson II. Those two selections, along with the signings of D.J. Reed and Foley Fatukasi, should help improve a defence that ranked last in yards and points allowed in 2021.

Wilson is trending toward a Week 4 return. If he can play up to his potential, there's a small-percentage upside case to be made for the Jets.

NorthStar Bets editorial Insiders have no influence, direct or otherwise, over the setting of odds advertised on our platforms.