Odds to win AL MVP: Kyle Tucker should make a case
Kyle Tucker is coming off a season in which he had career-highs in RBIs, runs and hits. Photo by Kevin M. Cox/AP.

Two-time MVP Shohei Ohtani has switched leagues, which means the AL MVP field is a little more open this season.

The latest: Aaron Judge, the 2022 MVP winner, sits as the favourite and should be in the mix all year as long if he can stay healthy. If you'd prefer some longer odds, Marcus Semien is an interesting option at 23-to-1 and Kyle Tucker has a case at 15-to-1.

Let's take a look at the current AL MVP odds.

AL MVP odds

Check out the latest odds to win AL MVP. Click linked odds to add selection to your betslip.

Best AL MVP odds

The favourite: Aaron Judge (+525)

Judge set the AL home run record in 2022, bashing 62 long balls while logging an MLB-best 1.111 OPS. That was enough for the towering slugger to topple Ohtani and his two-way exploits.

So with Ohtani out of the picture, Judge is primed for another MVP win, right?

If only it were that simple. The outfielder, who will turn 32 in April, missed nearly two months last season due to a toe injury — thus knocking him out of contention for this award. Health will be a key factor for his MVP campaign in 2024.

On the bright side, Judge posted excellent numbers when he was on the field last season. He had a 1.019 OPS and was on a 56-homer pace over 106 games. At times, he seemed like the only Yankee who knew how to hit.

It's worth noting that Judge played a career-high 38 games as a designated hitter. As he presumably continues shifting toward a DH role, his value at the plate will become increasingly critical.

Other AL MVP choices

Best value: Marcus Semien (+2,300)

The dastardly aging curve is probably baked into this price, but Semien has put up a great fight against Father Time so far.

Semien has finished third in AL MVP voting in three of the past five seasons. Last year, his 7.4 bWAR was second only to Ohtani in the AL — and he led the league in both hits and runs.

A proud ironman, Semien has only missed eight games over his past five seasons. Counting stats may not go as far in MVP consideration as they used to, but Semien does himself quite a service by staying on the field.

The former Blue Jay is a late bloomer personified. From 2013-18, he posted a 96 OPS+ and received no awards consideration. Since 2019, he's posted a 122 OPS+ while being a two-time all-star, a two-time Silver Slugger and a one-time Gold Glove recipient.

AL MVP notes

  • This past offseason, Bobby Witt Jr. (+1,800) inked a massive extension worth up to $377 million. Coming off a year in which he led the majors in triples and finished in the 94th percentile in Fielding Run Value, it wouldn't be a surprise if the shortstop took a big step in his age-24 season.
  • Kyle Tucker (+1,500) had a career-best finish on the MVP ballot last year (fifth) despite finishing below his career-best marks in home runs, OPS and bWAR. In the prime of his career, Tucker's ceiling is high — as is his volume of opportunities to rake in the heart of the Houston Astros' lineup.
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