Argonauts vs. Redblacks picks and odds: Bet on Ottawa to stay in the game
The Ottawa Redblacks are still searching for their first home win, but they've been close on several occasions. Photo by Justin Tang/AP.

Both the Toronto Argonauts and Ottawa Redblacks enjoyed a week off, and now they're back for a rematch in the nation's capital.

The pregame narrative: The Argos held the upper hand in a 24-19 win over Ottawa back in Week 14. The teams return to TD Place on Saturday for their third and final regular season matchup of 2022.

Check out our Argonauts vs. Redblacks picks for September 24.

Argonauts vs. Redblacks picks overview

PicksOddsBet now
Redblacks +2.5-110Add to betslip
Under 46.5 points-110Add to betslip
Parlay: Redblacks +2.5 + under 46.5 points+235Pick 1 + Pick 2

Odds as of 1:12 p.m. on 09/21/2022.

Argonauts vs. Redblacks picks

Best bet: Redblacks +2.5 (-110)

The Redblacks' 0-6 home record is absurd, but we still refuse to believe it's indicative of any meaningful trend. Four of those six losses have come by one score, and five of the losses have come against teams situated in the CFL playoff picture.

Toronto and Ottawa have swapped road victories this season, but we think it's finally time for the Redblacks to come out ahead at home — or at least make it close.

In Week 14, the Redblacks were marching in the closing seconds, trailing the Argonauts by five. The Redblacks drove to Toronto's 39-yard line before committing a turnover on downs, quashing their chances.

On the season, Ottawa (3-9) and Toronto (7-5) have been awfully similar — in spite of their polarized positions in the East Division:

StatisticTOR (CFL rank)OTT (CFL rank)
Yards/game337.3 (6th347.9 (5th)
Opp. yards/game352.6 (6th)360.1 (8th)
2nd down %49.5% (3rd)48.8% (4th)
Penalty yards1,016 (6th)731 (2nd)
Stats via CFL.ca

The last game these teams played was against each other, and it was a close one. After an extra week of rest and preparation, we expect another tightly contested battle on Saturday.

Key stat: Ottawa has dominated the ground game in two matchups against Toronto, averaging 4.8 yards/rush on 45 carries (versus 2.8 yards/rush on 27 carries for the Argos).

CFL Week 16 specialsOddsBet now
Argonauts and Tiger-Cats to both win+275 (was +260)Add to betslip

Quick picks

Under 46.5 points (-110): We've seen 36 points and 43 points, respectively, in the two matchups between these teams in 2022. A game-winning drive by Ottawa in Week 14 would've pushed that game to the over, but given how things have played out so far we're comfortable fading these offences.

Redblacks ML + under 46.5 points (+235): If you stack the two previous picks together, you'll land on some decent plus-money value for this matchup.

Although Ottawa quarterback Nick Arbuckle threw for 290 yards last game, he needed 40 attempts to do it. The Redblacks' best offensive attack comes on the ground, and that slows down gameplay.

Toronto can certainly gash Ottawa through the air, but the Redblacks held McLeod Bethel-Thompson to just two touchdowns in two games.

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