Arnold Palmer Invitational odds: Jon Rahm is the favourite, Sam Burns has value
Rahm has won three of his last five PGA Tour starts. Photo by Ryan Kang/AP.

The PGA Tour is back with another stacked field this week with the Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill.

The latest: Jon Rahm's otherworldly heater has him favoured yet again but last year's champion — Scottie Scheffler — is not far behind. Sam Burns is worth watching as a longshot as is Corey Conners, who is one of six Canadians participating in the event.

Here are the latest Arnold Palmer Invitational odds for the tournament beginning on March 2.

Arnold Palmer Invitational odds

Check out the latest odds to win the Arnold Palmer Invitational. Click linked odds to add selection to betslip.

GolferOdds (Mar. 1)
Jon Rahm+550
Rory McIlroy+800
Scottie Scheffler+900
Xander Schauffele+1,600
Max Homa+1,600
Patrick Cantlay+1,800
Will Zalatoris +1,800
Tony Finau+2,000
Collin Morikawa+2,000
Justin Thomas+2,200
Sungjae Im+2,800
Viktor Hovland+2,800
Jason Day+3,000

Golf odds as of 10:13 a.m. on 03/01/2023.

Best Arnold Palmer Invitational odds

The favourite: Jon Rahm (+550)

You'll be hard-pressed to find a tournament Rahm's playing in where he's not the favourite this season.

That said, seeing him at this price in a field this deep is jarring.

At +550 Rahm has an implied probability of 15.38% to win a tournament with 44 of the top 50 players in the Official World Golf Ranking playing. It's wild, but it's also a testament to how dominant the Spaniard has been as of late.

Rahm has won five of his last nine starts across all tours and is coming off a win at the Genesis Invitational. He's also finished eighth place or better in every single start since September 1.

He leads the PGA Tour in strokes gained: total (2.941), scoring average (68.390), birdie average (5.58) and greens in regulation percentage (75.69%).

This is one of the greatest heaters we've seen in recent memory so Rahm's short odds are an honest reflection of his abilities.

If there was one knock on the 28-year-old this week it's that he's only played in the Arnold Palmer Invitational once — last year — and finished T17.

Other Arnold Palmer Invitational choices

GolferOdds (Mar. 1)
Matthew Fitzpatrick+3,300
Tyrrell Hatton+3,300
Cameron Young+3,500
Jordan Spieth+4,000
Sam Burns+4,000
Rickie Fowler+5,000
Chris Kirk+5,000
Keith Mitchell+5,000
Tom Kim+5,000
Hideki Matsuyama +5,500
Sahith Theegala+6,000
Keegan Bradley+6,000
Shane Lowry+6,000
Tommy Fleetwood+6,600
Corey Conners+7,000

Best value: Scottie Scheffler (+900)

Scheffler went toe-to-toe with Rahm and Nick Taylor at the WM Phoenix Open a few weeks back and came out victorious. We wouldn't be surprised if he defended another title this week at Bay Hill.

Scheffler won this event last year with a score of five-under par and seems to have regained the elite form he had last spring.

The 26-year-old has carded seven straight top-12 finishes, including his win in Phoenix and a runner-up at the Hero World Challenge. He also has the third-best scoring average (69.232) and best bogey avoidance (8.33%) on tour.

Expect Scheffler to be in the mix this week.

Player to watch: Sam Burns (+4,000)

Burns missed the cut in his last start, but we've got reason to believe he'll contend this week.

The four-time PGA Tour winner has three top-12 finishes in his last five starts including a T6 at the Phoenix Open in early February. Burns also finished T9 at the API last year thanks to a stellar week on the greens.

The Louisianan is one of the world's best putters and typically thrives on Bermuda greens, which is what Bay Hill features. If Burns' iron play rounds into form, watch out.

Canadian Arnold Palmer Invitational odds

There are six Canadians teeing it up at Bay Hill this week. Conners' 70-to-1 odds are the shortest of any Canuck as of February 27.

GolferOdds (Mar. 1)
Corey Conners+7,000
Adam Hadwin+10,000
Taylor Pendrith +12,500
Nick Taylor +12,500
Mackenzie Hughes+20,000
Adam Svensson +20,000
  • Something about Bay Hill seems to fit Conners' eye. The Listowel native finished T11 here last year and solo third the year before that. He hasn't missed a cut since last September but also has zero top-10 finishes in that span.
  • Hadwin's had some solid moments this season. He was in contention at the WM Phoenix Open until a lacklustre final round and also finished T7 at the Houston Open back in November.
  • Pendrith has only played this event once and finished T42 last year. He's been solid with the flat stick this season but will need to dial in the ball striking if he wants to contend.
  • Taylor ranks fifth on the PGA Tour's money list through the Honda Classic ($3,048,373) largely thanks to his runner-up finish in Phoenix. The 34-year-old is playing some solid golf and finished T32 here last year.
  • Neither Hughes nor Svennson has had much success at Bay Hill but each has won a tournament this season. The latter is also coming off a respectable T9 finish at the Genesis Invitational two weeks ago.

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