Best NBA long shot bets for the 2022-23 season: Minnesota worth a look to win West
Anthony Edwards could drive a step forward for the Minnesota Timberwolves. Photo by Raul Romero Jr./AP

The NBA seemed like a predictable league for many years, but we're no longer living in the era of the Golden State Warriors and Cleveland Cavaliers meeting in the Finals every season.

After making a big offseason splash, the underdog Minnesota Timberwolves could be in for unprecedented playoff success. Other long shot bets we think have a chance include Evan Mobley winning Defensive Player of the Year and Steve Nash being crowned the league's top coach.

Check out these futures picks for our best NBA long shot bets for the 2022-23 season.

Best NBA long shot bets

Best NBA long shot betsOddsBet now
Timberwolves to win the Western Conference+1,800Add to betslip
Mobley to win Defensive Player of the Year+2,000Add to betslip
Nash to win Coach of the Year+3,000Add to betslip
Josh Giddey to lead the NBA in assists+6,000Add to betslip

Odds as of 8:42 p.m. on 10/13/2022.

Best NBA longshot bets

Best Bet: Timberwolves to win the West (+1,800)

Minnesota has won two playoff series in franchise history, but this could be the year the Timberwolves make a run.

In the offseason, the Timberwolves added defensively transformative centre Rudy Gobert, who might just be the perfect fit alongside offence-first (second, and third) big man Karl Anthony-Towns.

Rounding out the team's big three is Anthony Edwards, who will need to take a superstar turn to cash this bet. Putting your money behind a 21-year-old former No. 1 overall pick — who took a jump between his first and second years — to keep improving isn't too daunting.

Raptors futures specialsOddsBet now
Scottie Barnes to make All-Star Game+300Add to betslip
Raptors to win 50+ games+150Add to betslip
Nick Nurse to win Coach of the Year+1,600Add to betslip

Edwards made significant strides in his perimeter shooting, defence and playmaking last season. As a rookie, he put up 0.8 total win shares and that number improved to 4.3 in 2021-22. The sky is the limit this year.

Minnesota's twin-tower approach may get them in trouble in some postseason matchups, but they're almost certain to make it to the playoffs and the Western Conference's top powers all come with significant blemishes this year.

The Golden State Warriors are dealing with Draymond Green drama and an aging core. The Phoenix Suns just experienced a humiliating playoff loss and have the Robert Sarver fallout to navigate. Health is a huge question for both the Los Angeles Clippers and Denver Nuggets.

There's no equivalent to the ever-reliable Milwaukee Bucks out West.

The Timberwolves aren't the most talented team in their conference, but talent might not be the deciding factor this season.

Other NBA long shot bets

Evan Mobley to win Defensive Player of the Year (+2,000): This award can be tough to predict as defence is tough to quantify without advanced metrics and subjectivity often wins the day with voters.

That ambiguity could work to the advantage of a long shot like Mobley, who's extremely well-regarded for his defensive prowess.

For what it's worth, he also excelled on that end statistically as a rookie last season. Mobley ranked sixth in the NBA in blocks per game (1.7), 11th in defensive win shares (3.7) and 19th in defensive rating 107.3.

Those are the kind of results rookies seldom produce.

Mobley's combination of length, strength, agility and basketball IQ is extremely rare. If he takes a step forward in his second year this award could be his for the taking.

Steve Nash to win Coach of the Year (+3,000): Considering Kevin Durant was reportedly trying to get Nash fired during the offseason, this would be a heck of a turn of fortune.

That said, the road to this award is open to Nash.

If he can get Durant, Kyrie Irving and Ben Simmons pulling in the same direction the Brooklyn Nets could be a formidable club. Because it's well known that managing the personalities involved won't be easy, he'll get plenty of credit if he manages it.

Brooklyn is a solid bet to implode at some point this season, but if the club somehow keeps itself together, Nash has dark-horse potential in the Coach of the Year race.

Biggest long shot futures bet

Josh Giddey to lead the NBA in assists (+6,000): Realistically, this bet is probably a year early, but the 20-year-old's playmaking ability is intoxicating.

During his rookie season, his assist totals consistently climbed throughout the season, beginning at 5.7 per game in October and reaching 7.7 in February. The Australian would still have a way to go to challenge for this crown, but he makes bold passes many guards won't dare attempt.

For example, he's been a weapon on the inbound — a situation where many players are simply trying to get their team into an offensive set:

Fortunately for Giddey, the Oklahoma City Thunder will look to get him as much time on the court as possible for the sake of his development.

Unfortunately for the youngster, his subpar teammates probably won't convert the opportunities he creates for them at an efficient rate.

NorthStar Bets editorial Insiders have no influence, direct or otherwise, over the setting of odds advertised on our platforms.