Best NBA MVP futures bets for the 2022-23 season: Predictions on Doncic, Giannis and more
Luka Doncic could be in for a monster season, leading to his first MVP award. Photo by Gareth Patterson/AP

The NBA season is about to get underway, which means the MVP debate is will begin in a matter of weeks.

Luka Doncic is the favourite for good reason, but Giannis Antetokounmpo is locked in as a top candidate and explosive guards like Ja Morant and Damian Lillard could be in the mix.

Check out our picks for the best NBA MVP futures bets to make this season.

NBA MVP futures bets overview

Best NBA MVP futures betsOddsBet now
Luka Doncic +450Add to betslip
Giannis Antetokounmpo +600Add to betslip
Ja Morant +1,200Add to betslip
Damian Lillard+6,000Add to betslip

Odds as of 7:01 p.m. on 10/13/2022.

Best NBA MVP futures bets

Best Bet: Doncic (+450)

Picking the favourite is undoubtedly boring, but Doncic has the chance to build an ironclad MVP case this season.

The Slovenian superstar led the NBA in usage rate last season (37.3%), and that number could climb this year.

The Dallas Mavericks players who took the second and third-most shots on the team behind Doncic have both departed (Jalen Brunson and Kristaps Porzingis), which means the team's offence projects to become even more centred around the star guard.

We already have proof of concept for this as Doncic's numbers shot up after Porzingis was traded last season.

SplitPPGShots/gameRebounds/gameAssists/game
Before Porzingis trade25.420.68.58.8
After Porzingis trade32.022.79.58.6
Stats via Basketball-Reference

Some of this difference can be explained by Doncic starting the season with some conditioning issues, but he clearly looked for his shot more after Porzingis left. Brunson's departure in free agency could have a similar effect.

While new addition Christian Wood could eat into some of the newly available looks, this will be the Doncic show. He should score 30 points per game and average close to a triple-double.

Other NBA MVP futures bets

Antetokounmpo (+600): After Antetokounmpo won this award in consecutive years it looked like voter fatigue might catch up to him, but now that's more of a concern for Nikola Jokic.

The NBA world has also seen the Greek Freak lead his team to a championship since he last won MVP, so any skepticism about his ability to drive winning basketball has been erased.

Antetokounmpo set a career-high in points per game (29.9) last season and if he breaks the 30-point mark his chances of winning this award could shoot up.

Raptors futures specialsOddsBet now
Scottie Barnes to make All-Star Game+300Add to betslip
Raptors to win 50+ games+150Add to betslip
Nick Nurse to win Coach of the Year+1,600Add to betslip

Giannis affects any game he plays at both ends of the court, he's playing for a stable contender and he doesn't come with durability concerns.

As an NBA futures bet, he brings an extremely high floor without sacrificing upside.

Ja Morant (+1,200): Morant's already won Rookie of the Year and Most Improved Player, making MVP the next logical step.

The lightning-quick guard increased his scoring output up to 27.7 points per game last season while playing the best defence of his career (2.1 defensive win shares). At the age of 23, there's still plenty of room for growth in his game.

Ja Morant took a major step forward last season. Photo by John Raoux/AP.

If Morant takes a step forward with his perimeter shooting, for instance, it will make him virtually unstoppable. The young guard could also be helped by the absence of Jaren Jackson Jr. early in the year as it could increase his usage rate and allow him to put up monster counting stats.

As a little bonus, Morant is one of the most likeable and popular stars in the sport. If his numbers put him in the conversation for this award, he just might have the unconscious bias of the voters on his side.

Long shot MVP pick

Damian Lillard (+6,000): This is a pure dart throw, but you don't often see a payout like this for a six-time All-NBA player who averaged 28.8 points per game in his last full season.

If Lillard is healthy, which is far from a given, he'll have a chance to put up massive numbers with the Portland Trailer Blazers. Former running mate CJ McCollum is gone and Lillard will be the head of the spear for a team with a history of putting up points.

Portland's offseason moves to acquire Jerami Grant and Gary Payton II should make them friskier than they were last season — and rookie Shaedon Sharpe has star potential. If the Trail Blazers are a pleasant surprise, credit could rain down on Lillard.

It would take some serious injuries to a contender or two, but this is an intriguing sprinkle at a price equal to MVP no-hopers like Karl-Anthony Towns and Donovan Mitchell.

NorthStar Bets editorial Insiders have no influence, direct or otherwise, over the setting of odds advertised on our platforms.