Best NFL running back bets for the 2022 season
J.K. Dobbins is a strong long shot bet to lead the NFL in rushing yards. Photo by Aaron Doster/AP.

Running back is one of the most fragile positions in the NFL which makes it intriguing to target for player props.

No offensive skill position endures more punishment. Betting on a running back's futures prop involves factoring in more injury risk than quarterbacks or wide receivers.

Check out our best NFL running back bets for the 2022 season.

Best NFL running back bets

Best NFL running back betsOddsBet now
Best bet: Clyde Edwards-Helaire under 4.5 rushing touchdowns-115Add to betslip
Best bet: James Conner under 825.5 rushing yards-124Add to betslip
Best bet: Breece Hall to win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year+800Add to betslip
Long shot: J.K. Dobbins to lead NFL in rushing yards+2,500Add to betslip
Fade: Jonathan Taylor to lead NFL in rushing yards+400Add to betslip

Best NFL running back bets

Clyde Edwards-Helaire under 4.5 rushing touchdowns (-115)

Edwards-Helaire has been stuck on four rushing touchdowns in each of his first two seasons and the smart bet is on him to go under this total once again.

Durability is one reason why Edwards-Helaire has failed to score at a high rate. The third-year pro has missed 11 games through through his first two years in the NFL.

Secondly, the Kansas City Chiefs have shown that they don't like to use the 23-year-old near the goal line. Edwards-Helaire's 12 carries inside the red zone last year were third on the team.

He was very efficient with his opportunities, but Kansas City remained reluctant to give many to him.

The 2020 first-round pick also hasn't demonstrated a knack for being a home-run hitter out of the backfield. None of his 119 carries in 2021 went for more than 20 yards.

Added competition in rookie Isiah Pacheco and veteran Ronald Jones make Edwards-Helaire a strong bet to go under 4.5 rushing touchdowns this year.

James Conner under 825.5 rushing yards (-124)

Fading aging running backs who are showing signs of steady decline is the right move to make.

Conner was a fantasy football darling last season for those who drafted him or added him off the waiver wire. He finished the year as RB5 in half-point PPR leagues and helped a lot of people win their leagues. That said, his season wasn't all that great.

The 27-year-old averaged 3.7 yards per carry last season, finishing tied for 45th in the NFL (according to Team Rankings).

Conner is also at increased risk of injury due to his running style. The Arizona Cardinals back runs to contact, and that explains why he dealt with a toe injury, an ankle sprain and a rib injury in 2021, per PlayerProfiler. The veteran has missed multiple games every year he's played.

Conner has fallen short of this mark in four of his five NFL campaigns. It's a strong bet that he misses the mark again.

Breece Hall to win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year (+800)

Before Ja'Marr Chase won Offensive Rookie of the Year last season, a quarterback or running back had taken home the honour in six consecutive years.

Opportunity is a big reason for that. The learning curve for wide receivers is much steeper than it is for running backs, which makes it difficult for wideouts to carve out a large role upon arrival.

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That's where Hall may hold an edge over his NFL classmates in 2022.

It also helps that this year's quarterback class is weak. Kenny Pickett was the only passer selected in the first round of the NFL Draft and he may not even begin the year as the starter for the Pittsburgh Steelers.

Hall was the fourth pick of the second round and the first running back off the board. The 21-year-old profiles as a strong runner and pass-catcher and should get plenty of touches for the New York Jets this year.

Best NFL running back bets: The long shot

J.K. Dobbins to lead NFL in rushing yards (+2,500)

Dobbins missed all of the 2021 season with a torn ACL but there's value on him to lead the league in rushing yards on the most run-heavy offence in the NFL.

The Ravens averaged 30.4 rush attempts per game in 2021, good for third in the league despite injuries to its starting running back, backup tailback and dual-threat QB.

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Baltimore's 34.6 rush attempts the year prior ranked first and football fans can expect the offence to operate similarly with everyone healthy.

Dobbins already showcased in his rookie season that he's an efficient runner. The tailback averaged 6.0 yards per carry on 134 rushes, resulting in 805 yards and nine touchdowns.

Baltimore's offence and Dobbins' talent could put the RB at the top of the rushing yards leaderboard.

Best NFL running back bet to fade

Jonathan Taylor to lead NFL in rushing yards (+400)

Taylor led the NFL with 1,811 rushing yards in 2022 but there's simply no value in betting on that happening again in 2022.

As we said above, running back is a fragile position. These players are being hit on every play which increases their risk for injury. The Indianapolis Colts star managed to play all 17 games last year, but one injury could derail his campaign.

Of course, the same can be said about any running back in the league. The only difference is that Taylor has the shortest odds to pace the NFL in rushing. The risk vs. reward on a bet like this makes it hard to justify.

Additionally, head coach Frank Reich has pumped Nyheim Hines' tires all offseason. Increased usage for Hines could hinder Taylor's production and open up the door for another star to take his throne.

Odds as of 1:52 p.m. on 08/25/2022.

NorthStar Bets editorial Insiders have no influence, direct or otherwise, over the setting of odds advertised on our platforms.