Blue Jays World Series odds: Toronto sees big movement coming out of MLB trade deadline
Toronto has the seventh-shortest odds to win the World Series coming out of the MLB trade deadline. Photo by Nathan Denette/The Canadian Press.

With the MLB trade deadline in the rearview mirror, let's check in on the Toronto Blue Jays' odds to win the World Series.

The latest: Toronto was relatively quiet, scooping up hard-throwing reliever Jordan Hicks a few days before landing Paul DeJong on deadline day. Two weeks before that, the Jays got lefty reliever Genesis Cabrera. Those were all their deals and all three came via the St. Louis Cardinals in separate transactions.

Nonetheless, Toronto's odds shortened considerably. Here are the latest Blue Jays World Series odds as of August 2.

Blue Jays World Series odds

Blue Jays to win World Series: +1,300. Click here to bet.

On July 27, a few days before it acquired Hicks, Toronto was +1,800 to win the World Series. Coming out of the deadline, the Blue Jays are +1,300 and the No. 7 choice.

While Hicks and DeJong don't scream needle-moving deals, both should be able to help in some capacity. Hicks, especially, should shore up the backend of Toronto's bullpen, while DeJong should provide above-replacement-level production at short for however long Bo Bichette is out.

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And Toronto didn't have to move anyone off its active roster to get them.

Beyond that, the sizeable odds shift also speaks to what the rest of the contenders around the Blue Jays did. In short: Not a whole lot.

AL odds movement

The Houston Astros brought back Justin Verlander and the Texas Rangers nabbed Max Scherzer, depleting the New York Mets of their two best arms. Texas also added Jordan Montgomery to fortify its rotation.

Houston was +800 on July 27 and is now down to +600, while the Rangers' odds sit at +650 from +900.

The Baltimore Orioles went from +1,500 to +1,200 after getting Jack Flaherty from the Cardinals, while the New York Yankees, Boston Red Sox and Tampa Bay Rays didn't make any significant moves. Neither did the AL Central-contending Cleveland Guardians and Minnesota Twins.

The Seattle Mariners and Los Angeles Angels are the other playoff threats from the AL. While the Angels were the most active of those teams, they are still a +6,000 long shot (from +7,500 on July 27).

Boston is the only other team that saw significant movement on the odds board from that date and that speaks more to the club's level of play than anything else. July was the Red Sox's best month, as the club went 15-8, entering Aug. 2. They're just 1.5 games back of Toronto for the final wild card.

As for the NL, the only teams that shortened their odds any meaningful amount all come from the NL Central.

That would be the Milwaukee Brewers, Cincinnati Reds and Chicago Cubs — none made season-altering moves but one is guaranteed a playoff spot with the Cardinals and Pittsburgh Pirates out of the picture.

Blue Jays World Series outlook

There are some on-field numbers that also help explain why the Blue Jays are one of the top choices to win the World Series.

Toronto has been torched by the AL East but entered play on Aug. 2 with the best record in MLB against non-division foes (52-27).

And it ranks well across several key categories.

StatProductionMLB rank
OBP.330No. 9
OPS.748No. 10
wRC+108No. 7
Pitching WAR11.4No. 10
Starters' ERA3.87No. 6
Strikeout rate25.3%No. 2
Defensive runs saved51No. 1
Stats via

Whether you agree with the price or the value here, the Blue Jays should be viewed as a World Series threat for the simple fact that they have a 65% chance of making the playoffs, according to FanGraphs, which has their chances of winning the whole thing at 3.9% (behind the Rays, Astros and Rangers in the AL).

Any team that gets into the postseason has a shot and Toronto is pretty solid across the board despite its flaws, particularly its lack of thump (the Jays are 18th in ISO).

The defence is strong and the rotation is deep, led by AL WAR leader Kevin Gausman. We'd want to wait for Toronto's price to dip again before buying, especially with how tight the wild-card race is, but this isn't a team to dismiss.

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