College football bowl game picks: Top moneyline, point spread and over/under predictions
There are 41 bowl matchups set, and we've got a best bet for each of them. Photo by Nick Wass/AP.

The sun is about to set on another college football season. But with bowl season underway, the sport is going out with a bang.

Before the national championship game on January 9, there are dozens of other bowl games to enjoy. And to be honest, it's hard sometimes to keep track of them all (case in point: did you know Cheez-It is sponsoring two games this year?).

So let's keep things simple. We're going one apiece with our college football bowl game picks, and you can check out all of them below.

(Note: I went 12-9 on my picks for the bowl games between Dec. 16-27. The remaining picks have updated odds, but all selections were made as of Dec. 13)

College football bowl game picks

Odds as of 1:30 p.m. on 12/27/22.

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Bahamas Bowl: Miami Ohio RedHawks vs. UAB Blazers

Date: Friday, December 16, 11:30 a.m. ET

Miami's starting quarterback, Brett Gabbert, is in the transfer portal. His backup, Aveon Smith, has a 48.7% completion rate this season. The Blazers, who petitioned hard to retain interim head coach Bryant Vincent, should play with a little extra juice in Vincent's last game at the helm.

Best bet: Blazers -11 (-109)

Cure Bowl: UTSA Roadrunners RedHawks vs. Troy Trojans

Date: Friday, December 16, 3:00 p.m. ET

Both teams finished with exceptional 11-2 records, but only one of them β€” Troy β€” covered the spread in all six games away from home this year.

Best bet: Trojans -2 (-108)

Fenway Bowl: Cincinnati Bearcats vs. Louisville Cardinals

Date: Saturday, December 17, 11:00 a.m. ET

This is an awkward one. Cincy's head coach, offensive coordinator and defensive coordinators have all skipped town. The Bearcats' new head coach, Scott Satterfield, was coaching Louisville just a few weeks ago.

Given all of that leadership turnover, and the fact Louisville QB Malik Cunningham declared for the NFL draft, we don't think a ton of points will be scored.

Best bet: Under 41 points (-110)

Las Vegas Bowl: Florida Gators vs. Oregon State Beavers

Date: Saturday, December 17, 2:30 p.m. ET

Oregon State is on a six-game ATS win streak, including a season-ending victory over then-No. 10 Oregon. Fire up the Beavs.

Best bet: Beavers -10 (-109)

LA Bowl: Washington State Cougars vs. Fresno State Bulldogs

Date: Saturday, December 17, 3:30 p.m. ET

Fresno State has hit the over in five of its past seven games. As for Wazzou, the team scored or allowed 50-plus points twice in the month of November alone.

Best bet: Over 53.5 points (-109)

LendingTree Bowl: Rice Owls vs. Southern Miss. Golden Eagles

Date: Saturday, December 17, 5:45 p.m. ET

Southern Miss is 4-1-1 ATS in its past six games, while Rice is likely starting a true freshman with 40 total pass attempts. We'll take the side that's trending in the right direction.

Best bet: Eagles -6.5 (-110)

New Mexico Bowl: SMU Mustangs vs. BYU Cougars

Date: Saturday, December 17, 7:30 p.m. ET

Nearly half of the Mustangs' receiving yards went to Rashee Rice and Dylan Goffney this year, and both players are out for this game. We hate to fade such a massive point total, but that's what we're doing.

Best bet: Under 64 points (-112)

Frisco Bowl: North Texas Mean Green vs. Boise State Broncos

Date: Saturday, December 17, 9:15 p.m. ET

North Texas has covered four of its past six spreads as an underdog, including all three when given 10 or more points.

Best bet: Mean Green +10.5 (-113)

Myrtle Beach Bowl: Marshall Thundering Herd vs. UConn Huskies

Date: Monday, December 19, 2:30 p.m. ET

Marshall and UConn ranked 95th and 115th, respectively, in offence this season. They have also hit the under in 16 of their 24 games combined.

Best bet: Under 40.5 points (-108)

Idaho Potato Bowl: EMU Eagles vs. SJSU Spartans

Date: Tuesday, December 20, 3:30 p.m. ET

Finally, we're ready to call an upset. The Eagles are 5-1 away from home this year, while the Spartans are just 1-4.

Best bet: Eagles moneyline (+143)

Boca Raton Bowl: Liberty Flames vs. Toledo Rockets

Date: Tuesday, December 20, 7:30 p.m. ET

Liberty lost its final three games straight up as the favourite, and then its head coach left for Auburn. Toledo is coming off a MAC title victory in which it allowed only seven points.

Best bet: Toledo -4.5 (+110)

New Orleans Bowl: Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs. South Alabama Jaguars

Date: Wednesday, December 21, 9:00 p.m. ET

The under is 6-1-1 in the Hilltoppers' past eight games, and the Jaguars have fallen under this particular total in four of their past six.

Best bet: Under 56 points (-110)

Armed Forces Bowl: Baylor Bears vs. Air Force Falcons

Date: Thursday, December 22, 7:30 p.m. ET

Air Force only attempted 79 passes this season. Its offence is built on running the ball, and that likely won't be easy against a Baylor defence that allowed just 3.8 yards per carry.

Best bet: Bears -6 (+107)

Independence Bowl: UL Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns vs. Houston Cougars

Date: Friday, December 23, 3:00 p.m. ET

The over was 10-2 this year in Cougars games. Houston's WR1, Nathaniel Dell, is heading to the NFL this spring, but he's opted to stick around for the bowl game first.

Best bet: Over 58.5 points (-104)

Gasparilla Bowl: Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. Missouri Tigers

Date: Friday, December 23, 6:30 p.m. ET

Wake has lost four of its past five games, and it was favoured in all of them. Mizzou capped its season with an upset win over Arkansas and previously knocked off No. 19 South Carolina on the road.

Best bet: Tigers moneyline (-106)

Hawaii Bowl: MTSU Blue Raiders vs. SDSU Aztecs

Date: Saturday, December 24, 8:00 p.m. ET

The Blue Raiders won four of their final five games, with a 2-0 straight-up record as the underdog in that span.

Best bet: Blue Raiders +7 (-114)

Post-Christmas bowl game picks

Quick Lane Bowl: NMSU Aggies vs. BSGU Falcons

Date: Monday, December 26, 2:30 p.m. ET

Half of the Aggies' QB timeshare hit the transfer portal, but Gavin Frakes helped guide this team to five wins in its final six games.

Best bet: Aggies moneyline (+140)

Camellia Bowl: Georgia Southern Eagles vs. Buffalo Bulls

Date: Tuesday, December 27, 12:00 p.m. ET

Buffalo needed to eke out a one-point win over lowly Akron just to garner bowl eligibility, and now it'll face old friend Kyle Vantrease in a revenge game. Georgia Southern covered in both games it was favoured this year.

Best bet: Eagles -4 (-106)

First Responder Bowl: Memphis Tigers vs. Utah State Aggies

Date: Tuesday, December 27, 3:15 p.m. ET

Memphis hit the under in its final three games of the season, and Utah State's Calvin Tyler Jr. (1,171 scrimmage yards, eight TDs) has opted out.

Best bet: Under 61.5 points (-167)

Birmingham Bowl: Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs. ECU Pirates

Date: Tuesday, December 27, 6:45 p.m. ET

Coastal's Grayson McCall will be under centre one more time before transferring, giving the Chanticleers a good chance to put up big points. ECU averages over 30 points per game itself, and Coastal has allowed 45 or more points to its past two opponents.

Best bet: Over 61 points (-205)

Guaranteed Rate Bowl: Wisconsin Badgers vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys

Date: Tuesday, December 27, 10:15 p.m. ET

Both teams' starting quarterbacks are in the transfer portal, and neither has a seasoned backup. We'll fade both offences rather than throw a dart at one of them.

Best bet: Under 43.5 points (+105)

Military Bowl: UCF Knights vs. Duke Blue Devils

Date: Wednesday, December 28, 2:00 p.m. ET

Duke won four of its final five games, and all four of its losses this season came by a single score.

Best bet: Blue Devils moneyline (-167)

Liberty Bowl: Kansas Jayhawks vs. Arkansas Razorbacks

Date: Wednesday, December 28, 5:30 p.m. ET

Both teams hit the over in five of their final seven games, as well as 16 of 24 times combined this season.

Best bet: Over 68.5 points (-109)

Holiday Bowl: Oregon Ducks vs. UNC Tar Heels

Date: Wednesday, December 28, 8:00 p.m. ET

The Ducks' top corner opted out, but so did the Tar Heels' top receiver. We'll call that a wash and fade the team that lost three in a row (straight up and ATS) to conclude the season.

Best bet: Ducks -14 (-110)

The Ducks, who've been ranked inside the top 15 every week since Week 3, face the unranked Tar Heels on Dec. 28. Photo by Andy Nelson/AP.

Texas Bowl: Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Ole Miss Rebels

Date: Wednesday, December 28, 9:00 p.m. ET

Ole Miss went 1-4-1 ATS to finish the season, while Texas Tech won and covered in its final three games.

Best bet: Red Raiders moneyline (+135)

Pinstripe Bowl: Syracuse Orange vs. Minnesota Golden Gophers

Date: Thursday, December 29, 2:00 p.m. ET

Syracuse enters on a five-game ATS losing skid. Minnesota did have an ugly loss against Iowa back in mid-November, but the Gophers have won by at least a touchdown in four of their past five.

Best bet: Golden Gophers -7 (-162)

Cheez-It Bowl: Oklahoma Sooners vs. Florida State Seminoles

Date: Thursday, December 29, 5:30 p.m. ET

Oklahoma went 6-6 despite being favoured in 11 of its games. The one time the Sooners were underdogs (+7.5), they got embarrassed by Texas, 49-0.

Best bet: Florida State -7.5 (-129)

Alamo Bowl: Texas Longhorns vs. Washington Huskies

Date: Thursday, December 29, 9:00 p.m. ET

Washington ripped off six straight wins to finish the season, including three in a row against the spread. Longhorns running back Bijan Robinson hasn't opted out yet, but he's expected to, so we're taking the points on the other side.

Best bet: Huskies +4.5 (-134)

Duke's Mayo Bowl: Maryland Terrapins vs. NC State Wolfpack

Date: Friday, December 30, 12:00 p.m. ET

Five of NC State's past seven games have fallen under this number, and fourth-string QB Ben Finley does not instill confidence in us that that will change. Also, the under is 3-1 in Maryland's past four games.

Best bet: Under 47 points (-118)

Sun Bowl: Pitt Panthers vs. UCLA Bruins

Date: Friday, December 30, 2:00 p.m. ET

Pitt QB Kedon Slovis left the program, and his backups combined for just 32 pass attempts this year. We don't expect those guys to keep up with UCLA's 10th-ranked scoring offence (39.6 points/game).

Best bet: Bruins -6 (-112)

Gator Bowl: Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. South Carolina Gamecocks

Date: Friday, December 30, 3:30 p.m. ET

Few teams β€” if any β€” enter bowl season on the type of heater the Gamecocks are riding. They capped the season with straight-up wins over Tennessee and Clemson despite being double-digit underdogs in both matchups.

Best bet: Gamecocks moneyline (+110)

Arizona Bowl: Ohio Bobcats vs. Wyoming Cowboys

Date: Friday, December 30, 4:30 p.m. ET

The under hit in each of Wyoming's final five games. Ohio's Kurtis Rourke, the MAC Player of the Year, is sidelined due to injury, so we expect a low-scoring matchup.

Best bet: Under 42.5 points (-108)

Orange Bowl: Tennessee Volunteers vs. Clemson Tigers

Date: Friday, December 30, 8:00 p.m. ET

Cade Klubnik was excellent for Clemson in the ACC championship game, completing 20 of his 24 passes for 279 yards to cement his ascension past former starter DJ Uiagalelei. With Hendon Hooker out for Tennessee, Klubnik gives Clemson a noteworthy edge under centre.

Best bet: Clemson -6 (+104)

Music City Bowl: Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Kentucky Wildcats

Date: Saturday, December 31, 12:00 p.m. ET

Both teams are outside the top 100 in scoring, and Kentucky saw the under hit in 11 of 12 games this year. Root for points if you'd like, but we're not counting on many.

Best bet: Under 31.5 points (-115)

Sugar Bowl: Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Kansas State Wildcats

Date: Saturday, December 31, 12:00 p.m. ET

Alabama has some massive potential opt-outs, including quarterback Bryce Young and linebacker Will Anderson. As for K-State, we won't know the health status of quarterback Adrian Martinez until closer to kickoff. Taking the under is the best play here.

Best bet: Under 54.5 points (+112)

Fiesta Bowl: TCU Horned Frogs vs. Michigan Wolverines

Date: Saturday, December 31, 4:00 p.m. ET

Michigan beat 12 of its 13 opponents by a touchdown or more, and TCU hasn't yet seen a team like this. The Wolverines rank inside the top 10 in both scoring offence and scoring defence.

Best bet: Wolverines -7 (-124)

Peach Bowl: Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Georgia Bulldogs

Date: Saturday, December 31, 8:00 p.m. ET

Georgia's No. 2-ranked scoring defence should be a good test for Ohio State's No. 2-ranked scoring offence. But considering the Bulldogs are also known to put up big scores, we're taking the over.

Best bet: Over 62 points (-112)

January bowl games

ReliaQuest Bowl: Miss. State Bulldogs vs. Illinois Fighting Illini

Date: Monday, January 2, 12:00 p.m. ET

Illinois' four losses all came by one score, the last of which was a two-point squeaker against Michigan. The Illini are coming off a 41-3 win over Northwestern and should carry some confidence into this one.

Best bet: Illini moneyline (-105)

Cotton Bowl: Tulane Green Wave vs. USC Trojans

Date: Monday, January 2, 1:00 p.m. ET

One side has the Heisman winner, but the other side is 11-2 ATS. Caleb Williams doesn't play defence, and that's where USC is bound to struggle.

Best bet: Green Wave +1.5 (-107)

Citrus Bowl: LSU Tigers vs. Purdue Boilermakers

Date: Monday, January 2, 1:00 p.m. ET

The over was 8-5 for Purdue this season, as well as 6-1 in LSU's final seven games. LSU quarterback Jayden Daniels should have enough time to get healthy and contribute to a high-scoring game.

Best bet: Over 58.5 points (+117)

Rose Bowl: Penn State vs. Utah Utes

Date: Monday, January 2, 5:00 p.m. ET

Penn State dusted a lot of bad teams, but it lost by multiple scores against the only ranked opponents it saw (Michigan and Ohio State). Utah, meanwhile, is coming off a dominant Pac-12 championship win over USC.

Best bet: Utes moneyline (-132)

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