Football fans are in for a treat if Week 11 is anything like Week 10.
Football fans are in for a treat if Week 11 is anything like Week 10.
We witnessed late comebacks and drama in a week that saw the Philadelphia Eagles lose their first game of the season. The Eagles and Minnesota Vikings will both go for their NFL-best ninth wins, while two big divisional games close out the week, including a clash between the Kansas City Chiefs and L.A. Chargers on Sunday Night Football.
Need help figuring out which teams to back against the spread? Our NFL Week 11 ATS picks have you covered.
NorthStar Bets' Jordan Horrobin, Avery Perri, Steven Psihogios and Chris Toman offer up their spread picks for all 14 games in Week 11.
NFL odds as of 10:10 a.m. ET on Thursday, November 17.
Click pick to add selection to your betslip.
Titans @ Packers: Thursday, Nov. 17: 8:15 p.m.
NorthStar Bets line: Green Bay -3.5
Horrobin says: Green Bay resuscitated its season with a Week 10 win over the Cowboys, and now it gets to stay home on a short week. But we can’t ignore the Titans’ seven-game ATS win streak. And after Ryan Tannehill’s return, it’s nice knowing Tennessee doesn’t have to run a one-dimensional offence.
Pick: Titans +3.5
Panthers @ Ravens: Sunday, Nov. 20: 1:00 p.m.
NorthStar Bets line: Baltimore -13
Psihogios says: Carolina won a big divisional game on Thursday Night Football, but I’m expecting a reality check against Baltimore in Week 11. Simply put, the Panthers aren’t very good, ranking 30th per DVOA, according to Football Outsiders. The Ravens rank third and Lamar Jackson should do as he pleases at home on Sunday.
Pick: Ravens -13
Bears @ Falcons: Sunday, Nov. 20: 1:00 p.m.
NorthStar Bets line: Atlanta -3.5
Perri says: In Justin Fields we trust. Chicago's quarterback has been on fire the past month, averaging 271.75 all-purpose yards and 3.25 touchdowns over his last four games. Atlanta's defence is allowing the sixth-most points (25) and second-most yards (399.5) per game. Back the underdog Bears to cover a 3.5-point spread as they've done in three of their past four.
Pick: Bears +3.5
Browns @ Bills: Sunday, Nov. 20: 1:00 p.m.
NorthStar Bets line: Buffalo -7.5
Horrobin says: Buffalo’s snowy weather probably would’ve helped Nick Chubb and the Browns, but the league’s decision to move the game to Detroit revokes home-field advantage from the Bills. Cleveland has covered three of four underdog spreads this year, so we’ll take 'em in Buffalo, Detroit or Timbuktu.
Pick: Browns +7.5
Lions @ Giants: Sunday, Nov. 20: 1:00 p.m.
NorthStar Bets line: New York -3
Horrobin says: New York has largely built its 7-2 ATS record as an underdog, but it has also beaten the teams it’s supposed to. The Giants are 2-0 ATS as favourites, and all six of the Lions’ losses have come by three or more points.
Pick: Giants -3
Rams @ Saints: Sunday, Nov. 20: 1:00 p.m.
NorthStar Bets line: New Orleans -3.5
Toman says: New Orleans has been trounced by double digits in back-to-back weeks but is a favourite in Week 11? It makes sense when you consider that the only functioning piece of the Rams' offence, Cooper Kupp, is sidelined. L.A. has lost five of its last six (four by 10+ points), is averaging the fourth-fewest points (16.4) in the NFL and has a league-worst ATS record (2-6-1). No thanks.
Pick: Saints -3.5
Jets @ Patriots: Sunday, Nov. 20: 1:00 p.m.
NorthStar Bets line: New England -3.5
Psihogios says: Both teams are coming off a bye and I’ll say that favours New York, considering these squads just met in Week 8. New England won that game 22-17, but the Jets could use the extra week to prepare and adjust. Zach Wilson imploded the last time they met, throwing three interceptions. Expect him to look much better in Week 11.
Pick: Jets +3.5
Eagles @ Colts: Sunday, Nov. 20: 1:00 p.m.
NorthStar Bets line: Philadelphia -6.5
Toman says: Matt Ryan is back and Jonathan Taylor is, too, but don't let the Colts' Week 10 win over the Raiders fool you. This isn't a very good team and their near-league-worst offence will be up against one of the NFL's best defences. Also: Don't overreact to Philadelphia's first loss. The Eagles remain the class of the NFC and needing a TD to cover is a comfortable price to back them at.
Pick: Eagles -6.5
Commanders @ Texans: Sunday, Nov. 20: 1:00 p.m.
NorthStar Bets line: Washington -3.5
Perri says: I'm not expecting the Commanders to let up after their massive upset win on Monday Night Football. Taylor Heinicke has stepped up and shouldn't have a problem covering against an awful Texans team. Houston has lost six of its nine games by four-plus points
Pick: Commanders -3.5
Raiders @ Broncos: Sunday, Nov. 20: 4:05 p.m.
NorthStar Bets line: Denver -2
Perri says: One of the reasons Josh McDaniels hasn't been fired is because of financial constraints — that says something about the Raiders' situation. The Broncos aren't great, either, but I'm comfortable backing them as slight home favourites. Denver's defence has allowed fewer than 20 points in five straight games and should be able to stifle Derek Carr.
Pick: Broncos -3
Bengals @ Steelers: Sunday, Nov. 20: 4:25 p.m.
NorthStar Bets line: Cincinnati -4
Perri says: The Steelers are coming off a crucial Week 10 victory and I like them to keep it rolling at home. T.J. Watt and Co. terrorized Joe Burrow in the season opener, sacking him seven times and forcing four interceptions. That likely won't be replicated but Burrow will remain without Ja'Marr Chase and should have trouble moving the ball on the road.
Pick: Steelers +4
Cowboys @ Vikings: Sunday, Nov. 20: 4:25 p.m.
NorthStar Bets line: Dallas -1.5
Psihogios says: Dallas is coming off a heartbreaking, overtime loss while Minnesota’s coming off an emotional, OT win. Conventional wisdom says to pick the Vikings, but there’s nothing conventional about the NFL. Christian Darrisaw, who’s the highest-graded offensive lineman in the NFL, per PFF, is in concussion protocol and may not play. His absence would be massive against a ferocious Cowboys defensive front. I like America's Team to rebound.
Pick: Cowboys -1.5
Chiefs @ Chargers: Sunday, Nov. 20: 8:20 p.m.
NorthStar Bets line: Kansas City -6
Psihogios says: Los Angeles lost on Sunday Night Football last week, but things are starting to look up for the team. Both Keenan Allen and Mike Williams practiced on Wednesday, a hopeful sign that the Chargers will get at least one of their top-two wideouts back. Kansas City won the first meeting between these two by just three points, and we’re expecting another close contest in LA.
Pick: Chargers +6
49ers @ Cardinals: Monday, Nov. 21: 8:15 p.m.
NorthStar Bets line: San Francisco -8
Toman says: This huge divisional game will close out the week on Monday Night Football. The 49ers couldn't cover the spread (-8.5) last week and I don't like them as more than a TD favourite this week. Arizona could have Kyler Murray and Marquise Brown back and make the NFC West race a dogfight with a win. Expect the Cardinals to keep this one close.
Pick: Cardinals +8
Season records: Ashbourne: 76-69-5 | Toman: 75-70-65-5 | Psihogios: 73-72-5| Horrobin: 69-75-5 | Perri: 69-75-5
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