Odds to win the NFC South: Divisional race somehow wide open
The Buccaneers have lost two straight games but still maintain the divisional lead. Photo by Mark LoMoglio/AP.

The NFC South makes a strong case for being the worst division in football — and certainly in the NFC —but one of these teams will be hosting a playoff game come January.

The latest: The Tampa Bay Buccaneers control their own destiny and could lock things up this week, but the Carolina Panthers control their own destiny, too. The New Orleans Saints have an outside shot of making the playoffs, but they need a ton of help.

Here are the latest NFC South odds.

NFC South odds

Check out the latest odds to win the NFC South. Click linked odds to add selection to betslip.

TeamOdds (Dec. 28)Odds (Dec. 19)Preseason Odds
Tampa Bay Buccaneers -335-305-278
Carolina Panthers+300+300+1,100
New Orleans Saints+2,500+2,500+325

Odds as of 12:15 p.m. on 12/28/2022.

Best NFC South odds

The favourite: Buccaneers (-335)

It's hard to believe this team is two years removed from winning a Super Bowl.

The offence is sluggish, the defence has holes and the coaching staff is unproven. The receiving corps has been injury-riddled and Brady looks every bit his age as well — yet they're somehow atop the NFC South.

Since their Week 11 bye, the Bucs are 2-3 and their two victories came by a combined four points. Tom Brady looks like a shell of his Hall of Fame self, throwing seven interceptions in his past four games.

And yet, Tampa (7-8) just needs to beat Carolina on Sunday to advance to the playoffs as the division winner. If the Bucs lose, they'd need to win in Week 18 and have the Panthers lose that week in order to get in.

If you like Tampa's chances on Sunday, you're better off betting them on the moneyline against Carolina instead of investing in this super-juiced division market.

Other NFC South choices

Best value: Panthers (+300)

With the remaining three teams tied at 5-9, The Panthers beat the Buccaneers in their first matchup of the season back in Week 7. If they do it again, Carolina will be in an excellent position to make the postseason as the NFC South winner.

Prior to that Week 7 win, Carolina's season looked to be finished.

The Panthers held a bottom-feeding 1-5 record and were 13-point underdogs in that contest, but they managed to win 21-3. Since then, they've won four of eight, which has been just enough to remain afloat.

Steve Wilks deserves credit for his role as interim coach following Matt Rhule's firing. And Sam Darnold has led the team to a 3-1 record with zero interceptions since taking over under centre.

The Panthers ran over the Detroit Lions, in a literal sense, with a whopping 320 rushing yards last week. A repeat win over Tampa, plus a win (or another Tampa loss) in Week 18 would push the Panthers through.

Team to watch: Saints (+2,500)

We'd advise staying away from the Saints right now because they need a lot of help to pull this off.

New Orleans needs to win out (at Philadelphia, vs. Carolina), and it also needs the Bucs to lose out (vs. Carolina, at Atlanta). We're not confident in all of that unfolding, but things could be a lot more interesting next week if the Saints take care of business in Philly.

The Saints have eked out a pair of one-score wins since their bye, but the magic is probably about to run out.

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