Odds to win the NFC South: Falcons fly up the board as Buccaneers remain favoured
The Falcons sit at 2-2 through four weeks of football and are clicking on offence. Photo by Danny Karnik/AP.

It was a tough weekend for the NFC South, as just one team managed to pick up a win.

The latest: Only the Atlanta Falcons came away with a victory in Week 4, as the divisional favourite Tampa Bay Buccaneers lost a tough primetime matchup and the New Orleans Saints continue to battle the injury bug.

Here are the latest NFC South odds.

NFC South odds

Check out the latest odds to win the NFC South. Click linked odds to add selection to betslip.

TeamOdds (Oct. 2)Odds (Sept. 26)Preseason Odds
Tampa Bay Buccaneers -400-400-278
New Orleans Saints+700+550+325
Atlanta Falcons +1,000+2,500+3,000
Carolina Panthers+1,300+900+1,100

Odds as of 2:45 p.m. on 10/03/2022.

Best NFC South odds

The favourite: Buccaneers (-400)

The last two decades have basically been Groundhog Day for NFL fans. Every morning you wake up and find that Tom Brady's team is a Super Bowl contender. It doesn't seem like this year will be any different, despite back-to-back losses to the Green Bay Packers and Kansas City Chiefs.

Tampa Bay's pedestrian start to the season isn't much of a concern. Brady and the Bucs should be able to waltz through this division and host a playoff game. They still have the fifth-shortest odds to win the Super Bowl (+1,200) and a quarterback that knows how to win when the time comes.

Brady and his teams have made the Super Bowl in 10 of the last 20 seasons, winning seven of them.

Tampa Tom still has a bevy of offensive talent on the roster, though most of them had been unavailable. It got to the point where journeyman receiver Cole Beasley was brought in to fill the void.

Mike Evans, Chris Godwin and Julio Jones all returned Sunday and the offence began to click once more, scoring 31 points in the loss.

Tampa Bay's defence was one of the NFL's best last season, and added Akiem Hicks to its ranks, but it had a rare off-day in Week 4. Todd Bowles' group has held opponents to just 27 points over the first three games before allowing 41 to Mahomes and the Chiefs.

Other NFC South choices

Best value: Saints (+700)

The Saints have been a model of consistency in the NFL for the better part of the last decade. With both Drew Brees and Sean Payton out the door, that's been shaken up.

Jameis Winston performed well prior to his knee injury last year, with 14 touchdowns to three interceptions and a 102.9 passer rating.

That version of Winston hasn't been seen much this season. He turned the ball over four times versus the Bucs and twice versus the Panthers, and he missed Week 4 due to a back injury.

We're just four games into the season so it would be rash to pass judgment on an offence that's loaded with high-end talent. Alvin Kamara and Michael Thomas have also been dealing with the injury bug all season.

A 1-3 start is far from ideal, but the Saints should be able to right the ship against the Seahawks at home next week. After that, New Orleans will need to get healthy to compete.

Team to watch: Falcons (+1,000)

We wouldn't put money on the Falcons doing much this season, but it's worth noting the sizeable +1,500 odds shift they had in their divisional odds after Week 4.

Marcus Mariota and Co. secured their second win of the season against the Browns and now sit at .500 despite benign defence and quarterback play.

Mariota threw for 139 yards and no touchdowns in the win, bringing his season totals to 779 yards on a 58.2% completion percentage with three TDs and four interceptions. The defence has allowed 168 rushing yards per game (fourth worst) but is surprisingly poised in the secondary.

Above-average quarterback play could elevate the Falcons, but it seems unlikely they'll find that this season. Atlanta does, however, have some strong talent on offence with Kyle Pitts and Drake London in the pass-catching game.

Cordarrelle Patterson has been having another great season but was unfortunately placed on the IR after a Week 4 knee injury.

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