NFL Offensive Player of the Year odds: Jefferson is in control
Justin Jefferson is putting up outstanding numbers this season. Photo by Abbie Parr/AP

There are only two weeks remaining in the NFL season and the fight for Offensive Player of the Year is all but wrapped up.

The latest: Justin Jefferson is the clear leader as the campaign reaches its conclusion but there are a few dark horses left alive like Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce.

Here are the latest NFL Offensive Player of the Year odds.

NFL Offensive Player of the Year odds

Check out the latest odds to win NFL Offensive Player of the Year. Click linked odds to add selection to betslip.

PlayerOdds (Dec. 28)Odds (Dec. 7)
Justin Jefferson-1,000+250
Tyreek Hill+1,200+200
Patrick Mahomes+1,500+1,000
Jalen Hurts+2,000+350
Josh Allen+5,000N/A
Travis Kelce+5,000+1,600
Saquon Barkley+8,000+2,500
Joe Burrow+8,000+2,000
Christian McCaffrey+8,000N/A
A.J. Brown+10,000N/A

Odds as of 1:27 p.m. ET on 12/28/2022.

Best NFL Offensive Player of the Year odds

The favourite: Jefferson (-1,000)

It's become clear this season that Jefferson is the most dangerous skill-position player in the NFL.

He leads the league in receptions and yards despite catching passes from a middling quarterback in Kirk Cousins. He also has to deal with constant double teams as fellow starting receiver Adam Thielen saw Father Time catch up to him this year.

There's simply no way to shut down Jefferson, who has 10 games with over 100 receiving yards and a number of clutch catches for a Minnesota Vikings team that always seems to find itself in one-possession contests.

If you wanted to pick nits you could point to the fact that Josh Jacobs and Derrick Henry both have more yards from scrimmage than Jefferson, but they are both high-volume bellcow backs who've wracked up a ludicrous number of touches.

The third-year receiver is the player who keeps defensive coordinators up at night, and for good reason.

Other NFL Offensive Player of the Year choices

Best value: Hill (+1,200)

There is no doubt that Hill is having a remarkable season, filled with memorable performances and eye-catching, highlight-reel plays.

The biggest issue for his Offensive Player of the Year candidacy is that he can't claim supremacy over Jefferson in any major statistical category.

He is, however, within striking distance if he comes up with a pair of monster performances. Hill has already produced six games with at least 140 yards and another two outings in that area could put him back in the mix.

If you're really keen on fading Jefferson, Hill is your best option but it would be a surprise if he brought home this award.

Player to watch: Kelce (+5,000)

This is a heck of a longshot, but Kelce could emerge as the last-minute winner under a very specific set of circumstances.

For one, the veteran tight end would have to maintain the NFL lead in touchdown catches. That's the best thing he's got going for him at this point.

He'd also have to break his own record for tight end receiving yardage set back in 2020 to give himself some narrative juice. That would require him to record 160 yards over the next two games, which is well within the possibility.

Kelce's case would also need Jefferson and Hill to cool off in the finishing stretch and ideally end up with stats similar enough to each other that they seem indistinguishable. It's a lot to ask for, more than we can recommend even at these odds.

That said, if anyone far down the board can steal this award it's Kelce.

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