NFL Week 3 teaser picks: Target underdog Lions, Texas with hefty spreads
The Lions covered the spread in both matchups with the Vikings last year, as well as in both games to start this season. Photo by Lon Horwedel/AP.

With underdogs ruling the day so far in the NFL, we're taking a bit of a different approach to our NFL Week 3 teaser picks.

The pregame narrative: We've targeted the underdog Lions and Texans — both 2-0 against the spread — and piled on extra points. And on Monday Night Football, a pair of low-scoring NFC East teams should be able to stay under our teased-up total.

Check out our best NFL Week 3 teaser picks, which generate +133 odds together in a parlay.

NFL Week 3 Teaser picks overview

PicksOddsBet now
Lions +6 teased to +13-286Add to betslip
Texans +2.5 teased to +9.5 -360Add to betslip
DAL/NYG under 39 teased to under 46-286Add to betslip

Odds as of 2:36 p.m. ET on 9/21/2022.

NFL Week 3 Teaser picks

Bet No. 1: Lions +6 teased to +13

Last year's underdog ATS darlings are off to a great start in 2022, producing a back-door cover against the upstart Eagles (as six-point dogs) and an outright win as slight favourites against the Commanders.

Sadly for the Lions, they won't have the luxury of playing NFC East teams at home every week. It's time to hit the road and face reality against the Vikings, which is why we've beefed up this spread.

Minnesota has spun a tale of two teams so far, flattening the Packers in Week 1 before an embarrassing primetime showing against the Eagles in Week 2. The same Eagles that eked out a 38-35 win over Detroit cruised to a 24-7 victory against Minnesota... makes you think, doesn't it?

We're pretty sure Detroit isn't a good team. But maybe it's a fun team that'll use its stars — namely D'Andre Swift and Amon-Ra St. Brown — to fight to the finish and hang around. The Lions are 13-6 ATS since the start of last season, which is second only to Dallas in that span.

Last year, Minnesota and Detroit swapped two-point home victories in their season series — giving the Lions an easy ATS cover both times.

The Vikings should bounce back at home this week, but we don't think their win will come convincingly.

The other teaser picks

Bet No. 2: Texans +2.5 teased to +9.5

In a vacuum, neither the Texans nor the Bears deserve to be favoured in an NFL game right now. But the Bears get the nod, as the home team, and we'll gladly throw seven extra points onto the Texans' side.

Houston (tie vs. Colts) and Chicago (win vs. 49ers) both stunned most bettors with their successful performances in Week 1 as 7- and 6.5-point underdogs, respectively.

The Texans kept that energy rolling into last week, covering in a messy affair at Mile High, while the Bears' hapless effort at Lambeau Field ensured that Aaron Rodgers' ownership papers are still up to date.

Houston may not win this game, but we don't expect it to get blown out, either. These teams have been pretty even in some key statistical categories, which works in the favour of a close game.

StatisticBearsTexans
Yards/play4.54.2
Yards allowed/play5.65.6
Point differential-8-7
Turnover ratio+1+2
Stats via Lineups.com

Bet No. 3: DAL/NYG under 39 teased to under 46

Daniel Jones vs. Cooper Rush is likely not the matchup the NFL was hoping to feature in its MNF slot. If only we could go back in time and hide this game in Week 2's overlapped doubleheader.

We can't do that — but we can put our faith in a teased point total.

Through two weeks, the Cowboys and Giants have collected four unders cumulatively. Only one of those games — New York's 21-20 win in the season opener — even eclipsed the 40-point threshold.

Rush has been competent when it comes to intended air yards (7.6 yards/attempt, 12th in NFL), but the same isn't true for Jones (5.8 yards/attempt, 29th).

Running back Saquon Barkley is the centrepiece of the Giants' offence, and the Cowboys can counter with the tandem of Ezekiel Elliott and Tony Pollard.

Fans could be in for a snoozer on Monday, but that'd be just fine with us.

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