It's still early, but a pair of National League youngsters have moved into serious contention for NL Rookie of the Year honours.
The latest: Corbin Carroll and James Outman are the only NL rookies with odds inside the 8-to-1 threshold, but look out for Mets riser Brett Baty. We also have a brief word of caution regarding Spencer Steer.
Here are the latest NL Rookie of the Year odds.
NL Rookie of the Year odds
Check out the latest odds to win the NL Rookie of the Year. Click linked odds to add selection to your betslip.
| Player | Odds (May 9) | Odds (April 24) | Odds (preseason) |
| Corbin Carroll | +170 | +350 | +350 |
| James Outman | +180 | +250 | N/A |
| Brett Baty | +850 | +1,700 | N/A |
| Jordan Walker | +1,400 | +200 | +450 |
| Miguel Vargas | +2,500 | +3,000 | +750 |
| Spencer Steer | +2,700 | +2,500 | +1,400 |
| Kodai Senga | +3,000 | +800 | +650 |
| Matthew Mervis | +3,500 | N/A | N/A |
| Brandon Pfaadt | +4,000 | +4,000 | N/A |
| Francisco Alvarez | +5,000 | +3,200 | +1,000 |
| Elly de la Cruz | +5,500 | +6,500 | +1,500 |
| Alec Burleson | +7,500 | +5,000 | N/A |
| Ezequiel Tovar | +8,500 | +4,000 | +650 |
| Quinn Priester | +10,000 | +6,500 | N/A |
| Dylan Dodd | +10,000 | +7,000 | N/A |
MLB odds as of 4:30 p.m. on 05/09/2022.
Best NL Rookie of the Year odds
The favourite: Corbin Carroll (+170)
When you're as fast as Carroll is, your potential to excel gets a nice bump.
Carroll's 100th-percentile sprint speed (via Baseball Savant) helps him leg out infield hits, steal bases and play a swarming brand of defence.
The former first-round pick was excellent in a small sample last year, and with roughly the same amount of plate appearances this year he's been excellent again:
- 2022: 115 PAs, .830 OPS, 133 OPS+, 14 RBIs
- 2023: 125 PAs, .899 OPS, 146 OPS+, 11 RBIs
He's only 5-foot-10 and 165 pounds, but Carroll has plenty of pop. He's hit five homers, nine doubles and a triple already. And his average exit velocity (91.4 mph) ranks in the 80th percentile.
A recent 12-game hit streak definitely helped move Carroll into pole position on this leaderboard.
Other NL Rookie of the Year choices
Best value: Brett Baty (+850)
When Baty first caught our eye during the last update, his 17-to-1 value was based on what we'd hoped to see rather than what we'd seen already.
Baty didn't do much in 11 games last year (7-for-38 with two extra-base hits and eight Ks), but now we're starting to see flashes of what made him such a coveted prospect.
In a 13-game span that started April 22, Baty has a .326/.383/.535 slash line (.918 OPS) with the Mets.
MLB Pipeline ranks Baty as the No. 19 prospect in baseball, with a 60-grade hit tool and power tool. He posted a .943 OPS in the minors last year, and the expectations for this kid are huge.
While it's too early to judge his MLB output closely, Baty is trending in the right direction and could easily see his odds continue to shorten.
Player to watch: Spencer Steer (+2,700)
Steer's NL ROY odds have held pretty firmly since our last check-in, but we're not sold on him right now — even amid a nice stretch for the infielder.
Over his past eight games, Steer is batting 10-of-34 (.294) with five extra-base hits and an .873 OPS.
His plate discipline remains suspect, though, as he has 17 strikeouts and zero walks over his past 13 games. And on the season, his expected batting average (.210) leaves a lot to be desired.
If you're looking to toss a dart in the range of 20-to-1 or 30-to-1 odds, we suggest aiming at a different part of the board.
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