How to understand over/under betting and wager on totals

Over/under betting is one of the simplest and most popular market types. Photo by Matt Slocum/AP.

Wagering on the total score of a game is one of the most popular sports betting markets. This is known as over/under betting.

Every game will have a projected total (for runs, goals, points, etc.) that the two teams have to combine to score and you can either bet the over or the under on it. In other words, you can wager on whether they will fall short or eclipse the projected total. 

That’s how the total gets its over/under name, which is also referred to as the O/U for short. All three of these betting terms mean the same thing. 

Over/under odds

Like point spreads, the odds for a total are usually the same or quite similar for both the over and the under. This number is generally set at -110 or somewhere within this range. That's especially true for NBA and NFL totals.

You will sometimes see the odds shaded to one side. An example of this would be odds of -115 for the under and -105 for the over. The odds typically don't stray too far away from that in either direction unless you're betting on alternative totals. But the sports where you do see greater variance are hockey and baseball.

At the standard -110 odds, you would have to wager $110 to make a $100 profit. 

Alternative totals

Alternative totals are numbers, in either direction, that differ from the main point total. The odds reflect the change in number and will differ from the main -110 line.

You can assume more risk on an unlikelier outcome for a larger payout or accept more juice (the cut that goes to the operator for taking your bet) by placing a wager that has a greater probability of occurring.

For instance, an operator could set a 222.5-point total for a Toronto Raptors vs. Boston Celtics game at -110 odds, meaning 223-plus points would be required for your best to cash if you took the over. An under bet would be successful if the teams scored 222 points or fewer.

There are other lines to bet on, too. Taking the over on 219.5 points might be priced at -145 odds, or over 226.5 points at +120. Odds of -145 would require a $145 wager to win $100, while you'd win $120 on a $100 bet at +120.

Over/under betting in the Big Four

Since scoring can vary significantly across the major North American sports, totals look different depending on which league you are betting on. 

The NBA, of course, comes with the largest totals, which are typically set between 200-230 points. Following the NBA is the NFL, where the O/U usually sits between 40-50 points.

MLB sees totals that, for the most part, fall in the 7.5-10.5-run range. The NHL, meanwhile, has the least discrepancy between numbers and the O/U is usually 5.5 or 6.5 goals. NHL totals rarely go above 6.5, while MLB has a lot more factors that go into setting the number. 

Two things especially make MLB unique in this regard. For starters, ballparks have an impact on the O/U, as some stadiums are strong offensive environments while others suppress runs. Secondly, the quality of the starting pitcher plays a major role in not only determining the favourite but also what the over/under is. 

Totals can vary considerably from game to game, especially in the NFL and NBA, with factors such as how good a team is offensively or defensively impacting the number. NBA teams average between 100-120 points per game, so rarely will you see totals set below 200. You will, however, see the number creep past 230 in a game between two high-powered offensive teams.

Weather plays a part, too, in over/under betting. Rough conditions can have an adverse effect on offence which can bring down the O/U number in NFL betting.

Team totals

In addition to game totals, you can also bet on a specific team’s total in all of the major sports. Bettors have the option of making an over/under bet on just the home or road team's output.

Team totals can vary greatly depending on the matchup. Let's say the Kansas City Chiefs are 10-point home favourites over the New England Patriots and the game has an O/U of 44 points.

In that scenario, the Chiefs' team total would be set at 27 points while the Patriots' team total would be set at 17.

All odds shown in this article are from Northstarbets.ca: The odds presented in this article are sourced from Northstarbets.ca, the producer of this content. Please note that odds may vary and are subject to change. Odds units and offers are advertisements and promotions from Northstarbets.ca: Any odds units and offers mentioned within this content are advertisements and promotions provided by Northstarbets.ca. These promotions are subject to terms and conditions, and readers are encouraged to review them before participating. This blog and article is owned and controlled by Northstarbets.ca: This blog and article are owned and controlled by Northstarbets.ca and are intended for commercial purposes. The content is created to provide statistics & analysis for global sporting events, highlight odds and offers available on Northstarbets.ca and may contain promotional material.