Odds to win AL MVP: Aaron Judge is the odds-on favourite to win

Aaron Judge is an overwhelming favourite to win AL MVP. Photo by Seth Wenig/AP.

Aaron Judge earned his four consecutive all-star selection this year. And he's well on his way to a second AL MVP in three seasons, too.

The latest: Judge is the odds-on favourite, with only one other player (Bobby Witt Jr.) sitting inside of 25-to-1 odds. The race isn't technically over yet, but the market is currently down due to Judge's substantial lead.

Let's take a look at the current AL MVP odds.

AL MVP odds

Check out the latest odds to win AL MVP. Click linked odds to add selection to your betslip.

Best AL MVP odds

The favourite: Aaron Judge (-4,070)

In a month-and-a-half since the all-star break, Judge soared from a -335 favourite to -4,070 odds. That's the shortest price he's seen and it equates to a 97.6% implied probability.

Judge's turnaround starting on May 3, when he entered the day with a .197 BA and a .725 OPS. Since then, the numbers look a little better.

Judge leads the majors in home runs (51), RBI (122) and OPS (1.197). His .333 batting average is second in the AL, which means a Triple Crown isn't out of the question.

Though he takes plenty of walks, Judge is always ready to pounce on a mistake pitch. It's baffling that his league-best .732 SLG is below his xSLG (.752)

One nitpick on Judge is that he's not a premium defender. But does that really matter? The odds, the stats and the pedigree of the Yankees slugger all say no.

AL MVP notes

  • Witt was a +20,000 long shot coming out of the all-star break, and now he holds +1,025 odds to win MVP. Judge's odds suggest this push will be too little and too late, but Witt's surge is worth paying attention to nonetheless. The Royals' shortstop leads the majors in hits, runs and batting average while playing Gold Glove-calibre defence at shortstop.
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