The NFL season is almost here and some teams are projected to have much better seasons than others.
The latest: Last year's Super Bowl finalists, the Kansas City Chiefs and San Francisco 49ers, share the highest projected win totals in the league. The New England Patriots have the lowest, while the Caleb Williams-led Chicago Bears are favoured to go above .500.
Find the latest NFL win total odds below ahead of Week 1.
NFL win total odds
Let's begin by looking at the AFC.
The Chiefs are hunting for the NFL's first-ever three-peat. Patrick Mahomes and Co. are clear-cut favourites to win a weak AFC West and stack up divisional wins.
KC is also favoured to win the most regular season games.
Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills have to deal with the Miami Dolphins and New York Jets in the AFC East while every AFC North team has a win total of 8.5 or higher.
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AFC projected win totals
Team | Total | Over | Under |
Baltimore Ravens | 10.5 | -125 | +103 |
Buffalo Bills | 10.5 | +125 | -152 |
Cincinnati Bengals | 10.5 | -139 | +115 |
Cleveland Browns | 8.5 | -139 | +115 |
Denver Broncos | 5.5 | -104 | -118 |
Houston Texans | 9.5 | -139 | +115 |
Indianapolis Colts | 8.5 | -104 | -118 |
Jacksonville Jaguars | 8.5 | -115 | -106 |
Kansas City Chiefs | 11.5 | -118 | -104 |
Las Vegas Raiders | 6.5 | -134 | +110 |
Los Angeles Chargers | 8.5 | -155 | +125 |
Miami Dolphins | 9.5 | -130 | +107 |
New England Patriots | 4.5 | -139 | +115 |
New York Jets | 9.5 | -155 | +127 |
Pittsburgh Steelers | 8.5 | +100 | -124 |
Tennessee Titans | 6.5 | +110 | -134 |
Highest total: Kansas City Chiefs (11.5)
Kansas City fell just shy of this total last year after going 11-6 and losing out on home-field advantage for the playoffs.
That didn't matter, though, as the Chiefs carved through the Dolphins, Bills and Ravens before beating the 49ers in the Super Bowl.
Mahomes had a down year statistically, but a revamped receiving corps should help him bounce back.
Rashee Rice seemingly won't get suspended this season while Hollywood Brown and Xavier Worthy add burner speed on the outside.
Travis Kelce is still one of the best tight ends in football and the defence is still elite.
KC cleared this line in five straight seasons before 2023.
Lowest total: New England Patriots (4.5)
Oh, how the mighty have fallen.
New England officially hit the reset button last season, cutting ties with legendary head coach Bill Belichick and trading Mac Jones before drafting Drake Maye.
The No. 3 overall pick out of UNC has potential but the talent surrounding him is questionable at best.
Rookie head coach Jerod Mayo has holes all over the roster he needs to fill. It will probably take a few years before the Pats are contending for a playoff spot.
NFC projected win total
Team | Total | Over | Under |
Arizona Cardinals | 6.5 | -177 | +143 |
Atlanta Falcons | 9.5 | -139 | +115 |
Carolina Panthers | 5.5 | -118 | -104 |
Chicago Bears | 8.5 | -162 | +133 |
Dallas Cowboys | 9.5 | -152 | +125 |
Detroit Lions | 10.5 | -125 | +103 |
Green Bay Packers | 9.5 | -143 | +118 |
Los Angeles Rams | 9.5 | -152 | +125 |
Minnesota Vikings | 6.5 | -155 | +127 |
New Orleans Saints | 7.5 | -118 | -104 |
New York Giants | 6.5 | +118 | -143 |
Philadelphia Eagles | 10.5 | -134 | +110 |
San Francisco 49ers | 11.5 | +110 | -134 |
Seattle Seahawks | 7.5 | -139 | +115 |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 7.5 | -143 | +118 |
Washington Commanders | 6.5 | -121 | +100 |
Highest total: San Francisco 49ers (11.5)
San Francisco fans and players probably still have a sour taste in their mouths after how last season ended.
But there's no better way to cleanse that than by beating the wheels off teams in the regular season.
And that's exactly what the Niners have done since acquiring Christian McCaffrey.
San Fran is 22-5 since CMC joined forces with Brock Purdy, Deebo Samuel, George Kittle, Trent Williams and Brandon Aiyuk. Now that's an all-pro offence (though it's unclear if the latter will be on the team come Week 1).
The Niners are no joke on the other side of the ball and should be favoured in most games this year.
Lowest total: Carolina Panthers (5.5)
It might be too early to declare the Bryce Young trade the worst of all time ... but it's certainly close.
Carolina moved up eight spots in the 2023 draft to take the 5-foot-10 signal-caller ahead of C.J. Stroud.
Stroud ran away with the Offensive Rookie of the Year and is a legitimate MVP candidate heading into this season. Young had the second-worst QBR out of any starter in the NFL and Carolina went 2-15.
Oh, and the Panthers gave up their 2024 No. 1 overall pick for the right to acquire Young.
That ended up being Caleb Williams.
And their 2025 second-round pick also goes to Chicago.
Dave Canales gets his first head coaching shot with this young and frankly awful roster. Things could get really ugly in Charlotte.