If you're looking for some late-night MLB prop bets, you're in the right place.
The pregame narrative: Ketel Marte is on a heater for the Arizona Diamondbacks and I think he has a great chance to score a run tonight. I'm also backing Garrett Crochet to go six or more innings out west against the Seattle Mariners. And earlier on, my best bet is on Carlos Correa to score.
Check out the best MLB prop bets for June 13.
MLB prop bets
Best bet: Correa over 0.5 runs (-108)
The Minnesota Twins have scored 37 runs in their past four games. I want a piece of this offence.
Correa has been at the centre of the offensive outburst, batting 11-for-18 with two walks across those four games. He's now batting .400 through 10 games this month.
The power numbers for Correa haven't been quite as impressive, which is why I'm less eager to jump on his bases prop.
But as long as the 29-year-old gets on base, I think he'll have a decent chance to score. Especially now that Royce Lewis is healthy and swinging a hot bat.
Lewis, who returned last week after an extended absence due to a quad injury, has four homers and a 1.176 OPS through eight games in June. The former first-overall pick bats just behind Correa in the No. 3 spot.
Correa and the Twins are set to face Oakland A's right-hander Luis Medina, who primarily throws mid-90s fastballs and sliders.
This season, Correa is batting .304 against fastballs clocked at 95 mph or above, and he's batting .390 against sliders, per Baseball Savant.
Key stat: Correa has scored 13 runs in his past 21 games, posting an .881 OPS in that span.
Quick picks
Crochet over 17.5 outs (-105): This is a very reasonable price for someone on the type of run Crochet is enjoying right now.
The AL strikeout leader has a 1.37 ERA in his past eight starts to go with a 12.3 K/9. Backing him to go over 7.5 strikeouts sounds nice, but the -136 juice isn't all that enticing.
Instead, I'd prefer to take the near-even odds on Crochet to complete at least six innings. He's cashed this prop in six of his past seven starts.
Crochet's opponent, Seattle, isn't hitting its stride right now. The Mariners have a .217 batting average over the past month, which ranks 28th in the majors.
Marte over 0.5 runs (-121): The top half of the Diamondbacks' lineup is cruising right now, and no one is hotter than Marte.
In his past 10 starts, Marte is batting .385 with a 1.238 OPS and 11 runs. Those aren't sustainable numbers, but Marte has established himself as one the league's top hitters.
According to Baseball Savant, Marte ranks in the 93rd percentile or higher in xBA, xSLG, average exit velocity and hard-hit rate.
Including Marte, four of the Diamondbacks' typical top-five hitters have an OPS over .729 or above in the past month. He's plenty capable of getting on base, and there are others who should be able to bring him home.
Picks made at 11:25 a.m. ET on 06/13/2024.