Oilers vs. Panthers Stanley Cup Final best bet: Game 4

Oilers vs. Panthers Stanley Cup Final Game 4 best bet: Take the under in potential deciding game

Check out this Oilers vs. Panthers best bet for Game 4. Photo by Jason Franson/CP.

Avery Perri

June 14, 2024

The Stanley Cup will be in the building for Game 4 between the Edmonton Oilers and Florida Panthers.

The pregame narrative: Florida is on the brink of a championship thanks in large part to the heroic efforts of Sergei Bobrovsky. Edmonton hasn't been able to solve the Russian netminder and I expect scoring to come at a premium on Saturday.

Check out my Oilers vs. Panthers best bet for Game 4 of the Stanley Cup Final on June 15.

Oilers vs. Panthers best bet

Best bet: Under 5.5 goals (-118)

Edmonton was one of the highest-scoring teams during the regular season and averaged 3.5 goals per game through the first three rounds of the playoffs.

But Florida has stopped the team's offence dead in its tracks.

The Oilers managed just one goal through the first two games of the Stanley Cup Final and were down 4-1 heading into the third period of Game 3. Kris Knoblauch's team was basically dead in the water before it scored two late goals to bring the score to 4-3.

That helped cashed the over but it didn't change the outcome of the game — and it won't change my opinion on taking the under on Saturday.

Bobrovsky has been nothing short of spectacular for the Cats.

He owns a .953 save percentage this series and has saved 6.73 goals above expected, according to Money Puck.

You could argue that the Oilers are due for some positive regression but I'm not about to bet against a goalie that's that locked in.

Plus, the defensive efforts of Selke Award winner Aleksander Barkov and Co. have held Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl scoreless this series.

I'm not counting out the possibility for the Oilers to win a low-scoring, low-event game.

Edmonton had its backs against the wall against the Vancouver Canucks in the Western Conference semifinal and held its rivals to just three goals and 32 combined shots in Games 6 and 7.

It's do-or-die for the Oilers and I expect them to shrink the ice and play a defensively responsible game.

Key stat: Four of Edmonton's last five contests have gone under 5.5 goals.

Pick made at 2:54 p.m. on 06/14/24.

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