Panthers vs. Oilers Stanley Cup Final props: Game 3

Panthers vs. Oilers Stanley Cup Final Game 3 props: Bet on McDavid to come alive at home

Bet on McDavid in Game 3. Photo by Jason Franson/CP.

Avery Perri

June 13, 2024

The Stanley Cup Final heads north of the border with the Edmonton Oilers needing a win.

The pregame narrative: The Florida Panthers hold a 2-0 series lead after limiting Edmonton's high-powered offence to just one goal so far. I think things will be different tonight, though, and am backing Connor McDavid two different ways.

Check out these Panthers vs. Oilers props for Game 3 of the Stanley Cup Final on June 13.

Panthers vs. Oilers props

Best bet: McDavid over 3.5 shots (+110)

McDavid recorded the primary assist on Edmonton's lone goal this series but he's been held quiet outside of that.

It's not for lack of trying, though.

Edmonton's captain registered six shots in Game 1 and had three in Game 2. He's generated the second-most chances (13) in the series and has the most high-danger chances (five) and expected goals (1.02), according to Natural Stat Trick.

Aleksander Barkov and Sergei Bobrovsky have done their best to limit the three-time Hart Trophy winner but it feels like the levy will break soon.

McDavid has played north of 25 minutes in both games, and I expect him to get even more ice time in what's essentially a must-win matchup.

This is a number he's cleared in four of his last six games and 10 of 20 playoff games.

Key stat: Before his three-shot effort in Game 2, McDavid had gone over this total in five straight games when playing 25-plus minutes.

Quick pick

McDavid 1+ power-play points (-114): Backing McDavid to score a point at -670 is foolish and backing him to score two at -125 feels a bit risky, considering how well Bobrovsky is playing.

But I'm happy to take the plunge on McDavid scoring on the power play at this number.

Edmonton has had its fair share of chances on the man advantage in the Final but has gone 0-for-7. That is shocking considering the team entered the final with a 37.3% PP success rate.

McDavid netted 14 of his 31 points in the first three rounds on the power play, cashing this bet in nine of 18 games.

The Panthers were one of the most penalized teams in hockey this year and I can't imagine that changing especially with some dicey play from both sides towards the end of Game 2.

Edmonton has scored on 38.5% of its power plays at home this postseason and I expect McDavid to get involved.

Picks made at 9:32 a.m. on 06/13/24.

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