Three player props make up a +480 ticket for Monday's NBA Finals Game 5 same-game parlay.

The pregame narrative: Much like the previous games in this series, I'm backing Luka Doncic to carry the load for the Dallas Mavericks in a do-or-die scenario. In addition, I like Al Horford's potential to be active in the paint while I expect Jrue Holiday to continue to be impactful in this series.

Check out the full Celtics vs. Mavericks SGP picks for Game 5 on Monday, June 17.

Celtics vs. Mavericks SGP picks

Parlay: Doncic over 30.5 points + Horford over 15.5 points/rebounds + Holiday over 10.5 rebounds/assists (+480)

Doncic over 30.5 points (-175): This is a line I've gone to before with confidence but it hasn't produced the best results.

Despite being close to this mark in every game, Doncic has only cleared this line once. However, a couple of lopsided scores took him out of the game early when he was well on pace.

It's no secret Dallas' offence runs through the Slovenian, but how do the Boston Celtics slow him down?

Well personally, I don't think they can, especially in an elimination game. Doncic averages 34.1 points per game on 47.5% from the field in such outings.

He's also been well below standard from 3-point range, shooting 1-for-15 in the past two games. Before that, he shot 8-for-21 in the series.

If he can get back to around his average of 32.7% from beyond the arc, he could explode with the Mavs needing a huge performance.

Other parlay picks

Horford over 15.5 points/rebounds (-103): I have no faith that Kristaps Porzingis is in any shape to play basketball.

Apparently, he was available in Game 4 but didn't play for what was officially listed as a coach's decision.

Horford has been filling a majority of the minutes as Boston lacks depth at the centre position. In the playoffs, he's averaging 9.2 points and 6.9 rebounds per game.

In the regular season, his stats were much better when Porzingis was out.

Horford was able to put up 11.7 points and 7.0 rebounds in 17 games without his 7-foot-2 teammate in the rotation.

That's up significantly from the 7.4 points and 6.1 rebounds he averaged when Porzingis was healthy.

Holiday over 10.5 rebounds/assists (-127): When Holiday plays a lot of minutes, he clears this line frequently.

In the last seven playoff games where the guard has logged 34 or more minutes, he's recorded 11-plus rebounds and assists in six of them.

The only game in the last two series where Holiday played less than that was Game 4 on Friday. The Mavericks won by 38 and odds are that won't happen again.

Picks as of 1:38 p.m. on 06/16/2024.