The Dallas Mavericks host the Boston Celtics in Game 3 of the NBA Finals.

The pregame narrative: Luka Doncic has been grabbing 10-plus rebounds consistently through the playoffs and I expect that to continue. Meanwhile, back two of his teammates to cash the over on their player props.

Check out the full breakdown of my Mavericks vs. Celtics prop bets for Game 3 of the NBA Finals on Wednesday, June 12.

Mavericks vs. Celtics prop bets

Best Bet: Doncic over 9.5 rebounds (-127)

Doncic cleared this rebound total in Games 1 and 2, so I'm heading back to the well for Wednesday night.

Not only has he been active on the glass in this series but also in the two regular season games played against Boston.

If we look at those four games as a whole, Luka has averaged 12.8 rebounds per game against the Celtics, cashing this bet every time.

It makes sense with the high amount of threes that the Celtics take. They led the NBA this season in 3-point attempts per game (42.5), which means ample opportunities for long rebounds that the 6-foot-7 guard has no problem grabbing.

It also helps to know that Doncic will be playing as many minutes as physically possible in what feels like a must-win Game 3 for the Mavs.

Key stat: Doncic has secured 10-plus rebounds in 10 of his last 12 playoff games.

Quick picks

P.J. Washington over 13.5 points (-124): P.J. Washington has been the Mavericks' second-best offensive player in the series and he's even better on home court.

During the playoffs, the forward has averaged 14.6 points in Dallas and 13.3 points per game on the road.

In Boston, he cleared this line in both outings despite only shooting 1-for-8 from 3-point range. That is well below his average beyond the arc this postseason (34.7%).

If he can get that spark from playing at home and shoot closer to his average from deep, Washington could once again be an offensive bright spot for the Mavs.

Derrick Jones Jr. over 1.5 threes (+185): This prop has the longest odds of them all, but I like it for a couple of reasons.

Firstly, Jones has been on fire from 3-point range in the playoffs. He's shooting 37.9% from deep and can be a huge factor in Dallas' success when he's on.

And much like Washington, he seems to be more effective at home. During the postseason, he's attempted 2.6 threes per game on the road and 3.3 per game at home.

And in those eight home games, Jones has gone over 1.5 threes in four games — including three straight dating back to the OKC Thunder series.

At +185 odds, this play is worth the risk.

Picks made at 9:12 a.m. on 06/12/2024.