One player from each of Tuesday's games factors into today's NBA prop bets.

The pregame narrative: Franz Wagner just had the game of his career but I'm fading him on the road against the Cleveland Cavaliers. Elsewhere, Bobby Portis will need to step up with Milwaukee's stars sidelined and Kelly Oubre should struggle on the glass.

Check out these NBA prop bets for April 30.

NBA prop bets

Best Bet: Wagner under 19.5 points (-109)

Asking the road team to score in this series has been like drawing blood from a stone.

The road team has finished under 90 points in all four games, which includes the Orlando Magic averaging just 84.5 points through the first two matchups in Cleveland.

Wagner fell under this line in both games — though he did score 18 in each contest — and also in Game 3 (16 points). The German forward responded with a 34-point outburst on Saturday but I don't expect that to be replicated.

The Cavaliers have been exceptional at shutting down the area where Wagner likes to operate.

They held opponents to 62.8% shooting at the rim (third-best in NBA) and 42.1% in the short-midrange (seventh-best) during the regular season, per Cleaning the Glass.

Wagner took 45% of his shots at the rim this season (93rd percentile in NBA) and 24% of his shots from the short midrange (84th percentile). He's not a big 3-point shooter and that's the area where Cleveland is the weakest.

Expect Orlando's other star players to have a bigger impact tonight.

Key stat: Wagner has gone under this total in seven of eight games versus Cleveland this season (regular season included).

Quick picks

Portis over 33.5 points and rebounds (-118): Milwaukee needed Portis badly in Game 4 but the veteran forward was ejected just seven minutes into the contest.

He had 4 points and three rebounds and was on pace to clear this total had he played around 35 minutes that night.

Portis played 44 minutes in an overtime loss the game prior, scoring 17 points while adding 18 rebounds on the glass. He's not a superstar by any stretch but should be taking around 15-20 shots tonight with both Giannis Antetokounmpo and Damian Lillard listed as doubtful.

The Indiana Pacers played with the second-fastest pace during the regular season.

More possessions for Indiana means more rebounding opportunities for Portis and Milwaukee. Plus the Bucks will have to match that speed to try and keep up with the Pacers' offence.

Oubre under 3.5 rebounds (+163): The New York Knicks are going to win this series on the glass.

Tom Thibodeau's squad has a 53.3% rebound rate and 38.2% offensive rebound rate this postseason. Both of those marks are the second-best of all playoff teams.

Oubre fits the bill when looking at who to fade on Philadelphia. The small forward has gone under this mark in three of four games and is reportedly dealing with an illness ahead of Game 5.

This is a small number to clear but I'll take the risk at generous +163 odds.

Picks made at 12:18 p.m. on 04/30/2024.