Premier League parlay picks Matchday 35: Bet on Tottenham in the North London derby at +303
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Tottenham host Arsenal for the North London derby. Photo by David Cliff/AP.
Avery Perri
@AveryPerri
April 25, 2024

I'm betting on Tottenham to play spoiler in this week's Premier League parlay.

The pregame narrative: Arsenal is four points clear of Manchester City atop the Premiership, but the latter has two games in hand. I'm betting on Tottenham to at least draw Arsenal in the North London derby and City to beat Nottingham Forest.

Check out these Premier League parlay picks for Matchday 35.

Premier League parlay picks: Matchday 35

Parlay: Tottenham to win or tie + Manchester City to win + Bournemouth/Brighton over 2.5 goals (+303)

Tottenham to win or tie (+100): Tottenham would kill to be in Arsenal's position right now. That said, playing the spoiler to their arch rivals is the next best thing for Agne Postecoglou's side.

The Spurs also have something to gain here outside of winning purely out of spite. They currently sit fifth in the Premiership and are six points back of Aston Villa with two games in hand.

Champions League football is very much a possibility and picking up points over Arsenal is a must.

The Spurs drew the Gunners 2-2 at the Emirates earlier this season and have dominated this fixture in recent years. Tottenham is 6-2-1 at home versus the Gunners since 2015.

Tottenham is also 12-0-4 at home this season, winning eight of its last nine games with that distinction.

Other parlay legs

Manchester City to win (-278): As of this writing, City haven't lost a Premier League game since December 6th.

They play Brighton tonight (Thursday), so that could change, but even if they lose that doesn't affect my confidence in this wager.

City is leagues above Nottingham in terms of skill and is right in the mix of the title race. It has the experience and is proven to be clinical in these spots.

The Trees are 5-5-7 at home but are in awful form right now. Nottingham is 1-3-6 in its last 10 games across all competitions.

Bournemouth/Brighton over 2.5 goals (-210): Finally, I'm taking the over at Vitality Stadium.

Bournemouth beat Wolves, 1-0, on Wednesday but it's typically playing in higher-scoring games. The Cherries have gone over 2.5 goals in six of their last eight games.

Brighton has gone under this mark in back-to-back road fixtures but cleared it in five straight prior. It also beat Bournemouth, 3-1, at home earlier this year.

Neither team has much to gain or lose from this game, so I expect loose defence and lots of goals.

Picks made at 12:29 p.m. on 04/25/24

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