Luka Doncic is brash, commandeering and supremely talented. And now he's on the cusp of guiding his Dallas Mavericks to an NBA title.
The do-it-all point guard provides endless entertainment — whether he's hitting a logo three or chirping at fans in the stands. But what is his prop market outlook entering the NBA Finals?
Let's take a closer look at some Luka Doncic props and betting insights before the Finals begin on June 6.
Luka Doncic props: 2024 playoffs
After leading the NBA in scoring this season (33.9 points/game), hopes were high that Doncic could carry the fifth-seeded Mavericks on a deep run. And although his scoring is down slightly in the playoffs, he's absolutely delivered in terms of overall production.
Through 17 postseason games, Doncic is averaging 28.8 points, 9.6 rebounds and 8.8 assists. That includes ...
- Six triple-doubles
- Eight games with 30-plus points
- 11 games with 10-plus rebounds
- Eight games with 10-plus assists
For as breathtaking as Doncic has been at times, he's not a cyborg. He had a seven-game stretch through the first two rounds in which he shot just 23.2% from 3-point range on 8.0 attempts per game.
But since then, he's been on fire.
Doncic has shot 45.7% from deep over his past seven games, canning four-plus threes in six of those matchups.
Game 1 Doncic props
Doncic's Game 1 prop markets feature some hefty totals, but it's not like he hasn't earned it.
His point total (over/under 30.5) is shaded toward the over. He's cleared that mark in five of his past seven games, averaging 31.7 PPG in that span.
Individually, you can back Doncic to get 10-plus rebounds or 10-plus assists at plus money. But betting on him to record a double-double comes with some heavy juice (-235).
Doncic has 13 double-doubles through 17 playoff games.
Doncic vs. Celtics
Given that they play in opposite conferences, we only get to see Doncic face Boston twice a year. But if you ask the Boston Celtics, that might be twice too many.
In both matchups this season, Doncic finished with a triple-double while clearing the 30-point threshold.
- Jan. 22: 33 points (12-of-30 shooting), 18 rebounds, 13 assists
- March 1: 37 points (14-of-25), 12 rebounds, 11 assists
If we include Doncic's two matchups against the Celtics from last season, he’s averaging 33.8 points, 11.8 rebounds and 9.0 assists in four games against Boston since 2022-23.
Boston profiles as a tough matchup, with the third-best defensive rating in the postseason (108.7). The Celtics also have the best postseason rebounding rate (53.6%).
But in a limited sample, Boston hasn't gotten close to containing the Dallas superstar.
Doncic Finals MVP odds
Doncic has the second-shortest odds to win Finals MVP, behind only Celtics frontman Jayson Tatum.
And that makes sense, given that the Celtics are favourites and the award is essentially guaranteed to go to a player on the winning team.
Only Jerry West has won Finals MVP on a non-winning team, and that was in the award's inaugural year (1969).
If Dallas does win the title, it's difficult to envision anyone other than Doncic claiming this award — even if you're dreaming of a Kyrie Irving revenge series.
Doncic leads the Mavericks in practically every category this postseason: points, rebounds, assists, shots, minutes and usage.
An injury flare-up could be a risk, as Doncic is playing through a knee sprain suffered in the first round. But he's played 40-plus minutes in 14 of 17 games and now enjoys a six-day layoff before Game 1 (his longest rest period since the playoffs began).