Stanley Cup Final betting preview: Key stats, trends and storylines for Oilers vs. Panthers
Check out our Stanley Cup Final betting preview. Photos by AP.

The Edmonton Oilers look to be Canada's first Stanley Cup champion since 1993.

But Connor McDavid and Co. have to get through the Florida Panthers first. Led by Matthew Tkachuk and Sergei Bobrovsky, the Cardiac Cats are back on the biggest stage after losing to the Vegas Golden Knights last year.

Check out our Stanley Cup Finals betting preview, featuring key trends, odds and more for the Oilers vs. Panthers series.

It's the final, so both teams obviously enter on hot streaks — but neither have excelled in covering the puck line.

Florida was favoured in 16 of 17 playoff games so far, according to Scores and Odds.

The exception was its first road contest against the Tampa Bay Lightning in Round 1. That was one of five playoff games the Panthers won by two-plus goals.

They have only covered a -1.5 puck line twice in their last 10 games. But it's not like you need to bet the puck line to turn a profit on Florida.

Here's a look at some puck line and over/under postseason trends for the Panthers:

  • 12-5 SU (+3.08 units)
  • 5-12 puck line
  • O/U 7-10
  • Under is 8-2 in Florida's last 10 games

Edmonton was heavily favoured in each game for the first two rounds and was barely profitable on the moneyline despite its 8-4 record (+0.69 units).

It only won by two-plus goals three times against the Los Angeles Kings and Canucks, making the puck line a money pit.

The home team was favoured in each of the Oilers and Dallas Stars' six Western Conference final games and you could find Edmonton ML at a much more playable number, even at Rogers Place.

Here's a look at some puck line and over/under postseason trends for the Oilers:

  • 12-6 SU (+2.28 units)
  • 6-12 puck line
  • O/U 9-9
  • Under is 7-2-1 in Edmonton's last 10 games

How they got here

Panthers: Florida blitzed its way to a second consecutive Atlantic Division title, finishing with 110 points and a league-best +68 goal differential. The Cats didn't slow down in the playoffs, eliminating the Lightning, Boston Bruins and New York Rangers in six or fewer games.

Oilers: Edmonton began its season with a horrible 3-9-1 record. A coaching change spurred the team to a 16-game winning streak and a 104-point second-place finish in the Pacific Division. The Oilers rolled the Kings before winning tight series' against the Canucks and Stars.

Are McDavid and Draisaitl an all-time duo?

Having two of the best — and likely the two best — players on the planet is a luxury.

McDavid and Leon Draisaitl have put on a show this postseason, ranking first and second in scoring with 31 and 28 points, respectively.

That has McDavid slotted third (1.582) and Draisaitl fourth (1.567) on the NHL's all-time playoff points per game leaderboard, behind only Wayne Gretzky and Mario Lemieux.

Edmonton's captain has done most of his damage as a passer, registering 26 assists.

The Oilers are generating 57.08% of chances and 63.64% of goals when he's on the ice at even strength, per Natural Stat Trick.

But the highlight of McDavid's postseason was this goal in Edmonton's series-clinching win over Dallas:

Draisaitl has netted 10 goals and 18 assists but has only scored twice in his last nine games after a red-hot start to the postseason.

Still, the German has a point in all but two of Edmonton's playoff games.

Backing either player to register a point isn't profitable, and picking them to score two-plus is risky. One way to tap into the squad's success is to register a power play point, which typically comes in around even or plus money.

The Oilers' 37.3 playoff power-play percentage is among the best ever and the Panthers were among the league's most penalized teams.

The duo are an all-time great pairing production-wise but it won't mean much without their names being etched on the Cup.

With a little help from my friends

Let's get it straight — it hasn't just been the McDavid and Draisaitl show.

It takes a village to get to the Stanley Cup Final and Edmonton got massive contributions from the likes of Evan Bouchard, Zach Hyman, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, and of course, Stuart Skinner.

Let's start with the goaltender, who was riding the bench less than a month ago.

Skinner has a .919 save percentage and 1.81 goals-allowed average since regaining the starting job in Game 6 against Vancouver.

Bouchard, RNH, and Hyman rank third, fourth, and seventh in playoff points with Hyman pacing the postseason in goals (14).

Hyman also has the most expected goals (14.8) and high-danger shot attempts (25), per MoneyPuck.

Second time's the charm for Florida?

Florida didn't put up much of a fight in the finals last year.

It lost 4-1 and was lost three of those games by three-plus goals. But the team was an underdog last year and has gone from being the hunted to the hunter.

Tkachuk paces the team in points (19) with Aleksander Barkov (17) and Carter Verhaeghe (17) right behind. None of them have overly gaudy totals, though, as Paul Maurice's team wins via committee.

The Panthers would rather smother their opponents.

Florida is allowing the second-fewest goals per game (2.29) and the fewest chances against per 60 (55.01) this postseason. It has the second-best corsi rate (56.22%) of any team, too.

Barkov is the best defensive forward on the planet and Bobrovsky has been exceptional in the clutch.

Edmonton can score with the best of them but breaking down Florida, especially at even strength, will be a tough task.

Stanley Cup Final betting preview: How to bet on the series

Florida and Edmonton have been near the top of the Stanley Cup odds board all season so it's not a surprise that this is a near pick'em.

The thinnest of margins could decide a champion and the Panthers getting home ice provides a slight edge.

You can also bet on the series' total games and spread, with over 5.5 games holding -195 odds and a Game 7 holding +210 odds.

MarketBetting odds
Panthers -1.5 games+160
Oilers +1.5 games-200
Oilers -1.5 games+170
Panthers +1.5 games-215
Over 5.5 total games-195
Under 5.5 total games+155
Over 6.5 total games+210
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