Spain, France and Portugal headline this +322 Euro 2024 parlay.
The pregame narrative: The Spanish have looked like the best side so far and I expect them to fill the net against Georgia. Elsewhere, France is a good bet to advance past Belgium while Portugal should beat Slovenia in regulation.
Check out our Euro 2024 parlay picks for the Round of 16 below.
Euro 2024 parlay picks overview
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Parlay picks | Odds | Bet now ⬇️ |
Spain over 2.5 goals | +105 | Add to betslip |
France to go through | -230 | Add to betslip |
Portugal to win | -235 | Add to betslip |
Euro 2024 parlay picks
Parlay: Spain over 2.5 goals + France to go through + Portugal to win (+322)
Spain over 2.5 goals (+105): Spain is the only team with three wins on its ledger at Euro 2024.
Luis de la Fuente's squad smashed Croatia 3-0 before beating Italy 1-0 in a game where it dominated possession and expected goals (51.7% possession, +2.86 xG). Having already locked up Group D, La Roja fielded their B-team agianst Albania on Matchday 3 and locked in a tidy 1-0 win.
Spain's superstars will be rested and ready to go against a Georgian side that just shocked Portugal with a 2-0 win.
But I say the Georgians' Cinderella run emphatically ends here. The team was out-possessed 72.4-to-27.6 by Portugal, giving up 22 shots and 2.04 xG on Tuesday.
Georgia conceded four goals in two games before that — three to Turkey and one to Czechia. Spain should dominate possession and finish their abundant chances against a much less talented lineup.
Other parlay picks
France to go through (-230): I'm backing France to win the biggest game in the Round of 16.
Belgium has looked lost in the group stage, scoring just two goals and posting a 1-1-1 record. Granted, the team has had some questionable goals called back, but I can't look past it failing to score against Slovakia and Ukraine.
France hasn't been at its best, either, also scoring two goals with a 1-1-1 record.
But Les Bleus generated the second-most xG (5.7), were missing Kylian Mbappe against the Netherlands, and have been dominant with this group at major tournaments in the past.
Mbappe returned to action from a broken nose and scored the deciding goal against Poland on Matchday 3 and I expect him to run rampant on Sunday.
France is 2-0-0 against Belgium since 2018.
Portugal to win (-235): Portugal already had Group F on lock before it lost to Georgia on Matchday 3. But I won't put much stock into that.
Ronaldo and Co. posted a perfect 10-0-0 record in Euro 2024 Qualifying with 36 GF and a +34 goal differential. Portugal then won its first two games of the tournament, 2-1 over Czechia and 3-0 over Turkey.
This team has serious firepower outside of Ronaldo with Diogo Jota, Joao Felix, Rafael Leao and Bernardo Silva forming a deadly attack.
Slovenia eeked its way out of Group C while scoring just two goals and tying all three games. This shouldn't be much of a contest.
Picks made at 12:24 p.m. on 06/27/2024.