Yankees vs. Tigers Sunday Night Baseball SGP picks: Back both starting pitchers to limit offence

Stroman has a 2.83 ERA in road starts in 2024. Photo by Gregory Bull/AP.

The New York Yankees and Detroit Tigers meet in the Little League Classic on Sunday night.

The pregame narrative: Marcus Stroman tends to excel away from Yankee Stadium, so I'm backing him to get deep into this game. This +350 ticket also includes Aaron Judge to record a hit and the under on the game total.

Check out my Yankees vs. Tigers SGP picks for Sunday Night Baseball on Aug. 18.

Yankees vs. Tigers SGP picks

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Parlay: Stroman over 15.5 innings + Judge over 0.5 hits + Under 8.5 runs (+325)

Stroman over 15.5 innings (-108): Stroman hasn't had his best season but he has strong numbers away from home.

Overall, he has a 4.01 ERA. On the road, that number is much lower (2.83).

Additionally, he also has career success against this Detroit offence. The Tigers lineup is 3-for-19 against Stroman, and Javier Baez is the only one to record a hit off him.

In his first start of the season against Detroit, Stroman went 5.1 innings and allowed one run on three hits. He did walk five batters, which got his pitch count up to 90.

Regardless, Stroman was dealing. If he can keep the walks under control tonight, he should clear this line once again.

Other parlay picks

Judge over 0.5 hits (-210): You won't often see a price like this for the AL MVP favourite to record a hit, so let's take advantage.

I know Tarik Skubal is the main reason for Judge's line, but historically the slugger has been good against the Tigers' ace. In 11 at-bats, Judge has five hits off Skubal (and four went for extra bases).

The Yankees' slugger has incredible numbers this season, and the stretch he's been on since May 3 is one of the best ever.

In 89 games since then, Judge is batting .385 with a 1.344 OPS, 38 homers and 93 RBI.

At this price, I'd feel foolish not adding Judge to this parlay.

Under 8.5 runs (-132): Going off what I said about Stroman earlier, the under is a solid addition to this parlay.

Judge may have Skubal's number, but other core Yankees hitters haven't had the same fortune.

The rest of New York's lineup is 11-for-54 (.204) against the AL Cy Young favourite with 21 Ks.

Skubal's first start against New York finished with seven total runs, while Stroman's first start against the Tigers this season finished with three total runs.

I'm expecting much of the same when these two go head-to-head on Sunday night.

Picks made at 1:09 p.m. ET 08/18/2024.

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