Bianca Andreescu sees a familiar foe in the first round of the US Open.
The pregame narrative: Andreescu has been struggling in recent matches but I believe in her ability to have a competitive match with Jasmine Paolini. Therefore, the over on the game's total is my best bet for the first-round match at the US Open on Tuesday.
Check out our Andreescu vs. Paolini odds and best bet for their match on Aug. 24.
Andreescu vs. Paolini US Open odds
Full US Open betting markets: Click Here | Full Andreescu vs. Paolini odds: Click Here
Best bet: Over 21.5 games
These two met at Wimbledon in July where Paolini took the match in straight sets (7-6, 6-1). Things haven't been much better for Andreescu since.
The Canadian lost out in the first round in back-to-back competitions (Cincinnati Open, National Bank Open) and is 0-2 on hard courts because of it but I believe in her ability to keep it close and maybe even win.
We only need the over, however, so let's focus on that.
Despite recent struggles, Andreescu has had her most career success on this surface by quite a margin. Since debuting on the tour in 2016, she has a 122-47 record on hard courts including a 2019 where she went 45-5 on the surface.
To add context, Andreescu is 77-50 on all other courts. That's quite the discrepancy.
Her counterpart, Paolini is 121-94 in her career on an outdoor hard surface which gives the Canadian quite the advantage in regards to conditions.
Form is the other variable and the Italian has just as sizeable an advantage there.
But that's why I'm rolling with the over rather than picking a side. I think both players are more than capable of winning a set and pushing this game over its total.
Key stat: Six of Paolini's last nine matches have cleared this total.
