Premier League parlay picks Matchday 34: Back Liverpool, Aston Villa to win in +355 ticket
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Liverpool is two points back of Manchester City for the EPL lead. Photo by Jon Super/AP.
Avery Perri
@AveryPerri
April 18, 2024

The Premier League is coming to a close.

The pregame narrative: Three teams are separated by two points atop the table, including Liverpool, which I am backing to win. Elsewhere, Aston Villa has my attention — as does the over in Sheffield United versus Burnely.

Check out these Premier League parlay picks for Matchday 34.

Premier League parlay picks: Matchday 34

Parlay: Liverpool to win + Aston Villa to win + Sheffield/Burnley over 2.5 goals (+355)

Liverpool to win (-190): Liverpool was in pole position to win the Premiership before drawing Manchester United, 2-2, and losing to Crystal Palace, 1-0.

But those were some unlucky results.

According to FBRef, Liverpool generated 3.6 expected goals on 28 shot attempts compared to Manchester United's 0.7 expected goals on nine shot attempts.

The Reds also had 21 shot attempts, six of which found target, and 2.7 expected goals against Crystal Palace.

Things are due to break Liverpool's way and this is a good bounce-back spot for Jurgen Klopp's side, which is still only two points back of Manchester City.

Fulham has only one win in its last four games (1-1-2) and has lost two of three EPL fixtures agianst Liverpool since being promoted two years ago.

Other parlay legs

Aston Villa to win (-134): Villa can't win the Premiership but it's still fighting tooth and nail for the final Champions League spot.

The Lions are coming off a huge 2-0 road win over Arsenal, which was only the Gunners' second home loss of the season.

Now, Villa is back at home against a mediocre Bournemouth side.

Unai Emery and Co. are a stellar 11-2-3 at Villa Park while Bournemouth is 5-3-7 away from home.

The Cherries have just one win in their last six road games (1-2-3).

Sheffield/Burnley over 2.5 goals (-143): Two teams destined for relegation should produce a high-scoring game.

Sheffield (84) and Burnley (68) have conceded the most and third-most goals this season. That partially explains why they've only won a combined seven games.

Burnley could technically sneak out of the basement but it would need to win out and get some help.

The Clarets may as well through the sink at trying to score on Saturday and it's hard to imagine their opponents playing solid defence.

Five of Sheffield's last six games have gone over this mark.

Picks made at 11:16 p.m. on 04/18/24

NorthStar Bets editorial Insiders have no influence, direct or otherwise, over the setting of odds advertised on our platforms.