Jakub Mensik vs. Felix Auger-Aliassime US Open odds and best bet: Expect FAA to win with plus-money pick

Bet on Felix Auger-Aliassime to beat Jakub Mensik in four sets. Photo by Graham Hughes/The Canadian Press.

Steven Psihogios

August 25, 2024

Felix Auger-Aliassime's run at the US Open starts with a match against Jakub Mensik.

The pregame narrative: Auger-Aliassime's see-saw season enters the year's final Grand Slam event. He battles an upstart Mensik in a match that should be entertaining. The former, however, should be able to beat the latter in convincing fashion.

Check out our Mensik vs. Auger-Aliassime odds and best bet for their US Open match on Aug. 27.

Mensik vs. Auger-Aliassime US Open odds

Go to full Mensik vs. Auger-Aliassime betting markets.

Best bet: Auger-Aliassime to win 1-3 (+250)

Auger-Aliassime's record on the hardcourt always gives me some pause when betting him on the surface.

He's been downright bad on the outdoor hardcourts in 2024, holding a losing record (6-7). His recent results on the surface are somewhat encouraging, though, as he advanced to the third round at the Cincinnati Open.

He picked up a commanding win over world No. 8 Casper Ruud at the event and was victimized by one of the most controversial (mis)calls of the year in a loss to Jack Draper in the following match.

That could provide the Canadian with a little motivation. Even if it doesn't, he should be able to beat Mensik.

The young Czech is having a solid season. The 18-year-old tennis star is 27-18 overall and is 18-9 on the outdoor hardcourts.

Most of his success on this surface occurred earlier in the season, however, and he hasn't been as sharp as he gears up for this event.

Mensik failed to advance through qualification at the National Bank Open and the Cincinnati Open.

Auger-Aliassime's strong all-around game should be too much for Mensik to handle. He ranks 29th in serve rating (276.1) and 31st in return rating among all tour competitors (139.0) over the last 52 weeks, according to ATPtour.com.

I expect Mensik to steal a set, but Auger-Aliassime should win comfortably in this contest.

Key stat: Auger-Aliassime beat Mensik (6-1, 1-0 ret.) in their lone head-to-head meeting which occurred at the Madrid Open in April 2024.

Picks made at 9:37 a.m. ET on 08/25/2024.

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