I'm betting on two sluggers and a pitcher in my MLB prop bets for Sunday.
The pregame narrative: Garrett Crochet has a strong matchup to continue building on his dominant season. I'm backing the lefty to top his strikeout total. I'm also expecting Shane Langeliers and Aaron Judge to do damage at the plate.
Check out these MLB prop bets for July 28.
MLB prop bets
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Best bet: Crochet over 7.5 strikeouts (+104)
The MLB's strikeout leader has a great chance to add to his total today. his opponent, the Seattle Mariners, strikes out more per game (10.2) than any other team in the majors.
Crochet ranks in the 98th percentile in K-rate (35.4%) and leads the league in fastball run value (24), per Baseball Savant.
In his last start, he recorded seven strikeouts in four innings pitched against the Texas Rangers who have a much better offence than Seattle.
If Crochet can pitch into the later innings like fans have become accustomed to, there's no better matchup to rack up the Ks in.
Key stat: Crochet has 13 strikeouts in his last start against Seattle.
Quick picks
Langeliers over 1.5 total bases (+160): Another player who has a strong matchup on Sunday is the Oakland catcher.
In four at-bats against Jose Soriano, Langeliers has three hits with one being a double and another being a homer.
Hitting for power is nothing out of the ordinary for him, as 33-of-67 of his hits on the season have gone for extra bases.
Langeliers is also on fire right now, covering this line in four straight games with two home runs. I'm backing him to stay hot against a pitcher he's had success against in the past.
Judge over 0.5 RBI (+110): As eluded to in my Sunday Night Baseball picks, Judge has fared relatively well against Houck in his career going 3-for-10 with a walk.
The AL MVP favourite is the best hitter in baseball and gets one more shot at Fenway Park before the series ends. He has six RBI in the first two games which includes two homers.
Judge leads the majors with 95 RBI which is 13 more than Jose Ramirez who sits second spot 82.
I like him to stay hot against Boston and drive in at least one run in tonight's AL East rivalry game.
Picks made at 11:24 a.m. ET on 07/27/2024.
