Here are two prop bets from Tuesday's four-game Euro 2024 slate.
The pregame narrative: Kylian Mbappe is still recovering from a broken nose but has reportedly looked solid in training and is hoping to play against Poland. I'm backing the French phenom to score and am also fading Harry Kane when England plays Slovenia.
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Euro 2024 props
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Picks | Odds | Bet now ⬇️ |
Mbappe to score | +104 | Add to betslip |
Kane to not score | -129 | Add to betslip |
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Euro 2024 best bet
Best Bet: Mbappe to score (+104)
Mbappe's quality was sorely missed for France during its 0-0 draw against the Netherlands.
Adrien Rabiot fumbled a grade-A chance in the box and Les Bleus generated a measly 0.47 expected goals, according to The Analyst. With a chance to secure the top spot in Group D I can't imagine Didier Deschamps sitting the striker if he's up for the challenge.
Sure, Mbappe has a broken nose and will be wearing a mask, but he scored a brace in France's training match on Saturday. Make of that what you will, but I consider it a good sign.
France's offence is dynamic when Mbappe is playing and we saw that in full display at the 2022 World Cup.
The team scored 14 goals en route to a runner-up to Argentina and Mbappe scored eight of them, winning the Golden Boot in the process. Two of those goals came in the Round of 16 against Poland in a game he completely took over.
The Poles haven't looked sharp at all this tournament and conceded two goals against Netherlands and three against Austria.
France should roll and Mbappe should be at the forefront.
Key stat: France's five goals against are tied for the second-most in the tournament.
Quick pick
Kane not to score (-129): England's offence looks disjointed and broken and I'm fading its top man against Slovenia.
The Three Lions generated just 0.52 expected goals against Serbia in their opener and Jude Bellingham was the one to find the scoresheet. Kane scored early against Denmark after a ball fortuitously bounced to his feet in the box but the team turtled afterwards.
Slovenia might not have the same defensive quality as those teams but I really don't trust England offensively at the moment.
The team lost 1-0 to Iceland in a friendly before the tournament and Gareth Southgate seems flustered at what to do with all of his top-end talent.
If England draws a penalty Kane will likely score but I'm willing to bet against that happening.
Picks made at 3:49 p.m. on 06/23/24.