UFC 303 goes down Saturday night in Las Vegas.
The pregame narrative: Ian Garry (14-0-0) looks to add to his perfect record against UFC's newest welterweight contender, Michael "Venom" Page. I think the Irishman gets it done on the scorecards. Earlier on, I'm finding value in betting Cub Swanson at 2-to-1 odds.
Check out our UFC 303 best bets for the event on June 29.
UFC 303 best bets overview
Click link to add selection to betslip. Note: Lines have changed/market no longer available if grey.
| UFC 303 best bets | Odds | Bet now ⬇️ |
| Garry to win via decision | +160 | Add to betslip |
| Swanson to win | +200 | Add to betslip |
UFC odds as of 9:22 a.m. ET on 06/28/24.
Go to full UFC betting markets.
UFC 303 best bets
Best Bet: Garry to win via decision (+160)
Garry continues to play the role of the villain, and this time he'll do so against another fan favourite.
Page (22-2-0) is looking to make a late-career UFC run after spending most of his time in the Bellator promotion.
MVP looked good in his first UFC outing, against Kevin Holland, but I think that performance is a bit overrated. In Holland's subsequent fight, he got dropped by unranked Michal Oleksiejczuk at UFC 302 before submitting the Polish fighter.
The point is that Page's last opponent is more known for his jiu-jitsu while MVP himself is a world-class kickboxer.
But so is Garry.
"The Future" has seen the majority of his seven UFC fights contested upright, where he's outclassed all of his opponents so far.
Garry lands 6.27 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 3.49 with an incredible 53% defence rate. I expect him to out-point Page but I don't see him finishing the 37-year-old as his awkward style can discourage fighters from blitzing in.
Key stat: Four of Garry's last six wins have come by decision.
Quick pick
Swanson to win (+200): This fight caught my eye because I think Swanson (29-13-0) has value at his price tag.
The longtime UFC veteran has had a tough run on his schedule lately, losing six of his last 10. But all of those losses came to fighters who were either ranked at the time or were younger and are ranked now.
He has much better results when facing unranked opponents, going 4-0 in those contests.
Andre Fili (23-11-0) falls into that unranked category. Although the 34-year-old once looked destined for the rankings, he's now lost four of his last six (three by finish).
There's nothing in this matchup that indicates Fili should be such a big favourite, and when looking at their past performances, I like Swanson to get it done.
Picks made at 9:22 a.m. on 06/28/2024.
