MLB parlay picks July 7: Bet on Orioles to down A's in +319 ticket

Bet on the Baltimore Orioles to beat the Oakland Athletics. Photo by John Hefti/AP.

A moneyline, an over and an under are all included in Sunday's MLB parlay.

The pregame narrative: A pitching edge should lift the Baltimore Orioles past the Oakland Athletics. Offensive fireworks should be the theme of today's clash between the Arizona Diamondbacks and San Diego Padres. Thirdly, the Toronto Blue Jays and Seattle Mariners should play to the under.

Check out the best MLB parlay picks for Sunday, July 7.

MLB parlay picks

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Parlay: Orioles moneyline + Diamondbacks vs. Padres over 7.5 runs + Blue Jays vs. Mariners under 8.5 runs (+319)

Orioles moneyline (-186): Baltimore's edge over Oakland isn't limited to pitching but let's start there.

Grayson Rodriguez gets the ball for Baltimore and losing isn't something that happens often when he's on the mound. The Orioles are a dominant 11-4 when he pitches thanks to his 3.45 ERA and 3.56 FIP.

The Athletics counter with Mitch Spence and although he's been solid (4.15 ERA, 3.52 FIP) the A's are an underwhelming 7-13 when he takes the mound.

There's also the significant offensive advantage Baltimore holds over Oakland. It ranks first in runs per game (5.15) this year while the Athletics are a brutal 28th (3.78).

I'm expecting a motivated Orioles team, too, after they were shelled 19-8 to the A's on Saturday.

Other parlay picks

Diamondbacks vs. Padres over 7.5 runs (-143): This game has all the makings of a high-scoring affair.

For starters, these are two capable offences. Arizona is seventh in runs per game (4.89) while San Diego is 11th (4.69).

Neither pitcher in this matchup is having a banner season. The Diamondbacks turn to Ryne Nelson and he pairs a 5.42 ERA with a 4.33 FIP.

The over on this total has cashed in four of his last five starts.

It'll be a problem for Arizona if it has to turn to its relievers in this one. The Diamondbacks have the fifth-highest bullpen ERA in baseball (4.47).

San Diego sends Dylan Cease to the bump and his numbers are unspectacular. His 4.24 ERA and 3.28 FIP aren't mind-blowing and the over on this mark has hit in three of his last four starts.

Blue Jays vs. Mariners under 8.5 runs (-167): Jose Berrios and George Kirby square off and that should keep runs to a minimum.

Berrios has largely kept opposing teams off the board despite unimpressive peripherals. His 5.07 FIP is masked by a 3.63 ERA.

Kirby has been excellent all season long for Seattle. He has a 3.32 ERA and 2.98 FIP while keeping opposing hitters to a punitive .628 OPS.

The under on this total has cashed in six of his last eight starts.

Additionally, neither offence really has it in them to go off. The Blue Jays rank 26th in runs per game (3.98) while the Mariners place 27th (3.80).

Picks made at 11:52 a.m. on 07/07/24.

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