CFL Week 6 action kicks off on Thursday and I'm choosing three wagers from three different games.
The pregame narrative: I like the Montreal Alouettes to keep their win streak alive at home against the Toronto Argonauts. I'm also backing the Edmonton Elks to snag their first win and I'm fading the offence out in Winnipeg.
Check out the best CFL Week 6 picks for July 11-14.
CFL Week 6 picks
Best Bet: Alouettes -5.5 (-148)
The Alouettes have won 13 straight games and have done so in convincing fashion, having an average margin of victory of over two touchdowns (14.3).
The defence is what stands out about the boys in Quebec however. Throughout that win streak dating back to Week 16 of last year, the Als have held opponents to an average of 17.1 points per game.
Furthermore, before this week they had not allowed more than 24 points since Week 14 of 2023. But the Calgary Stampeders scored 26 in last week's matchup, breaking that streak.
That elite defence shuts the door on the best quarterbacks CFL, let alone a QB making his seventh career start in Toronto's Cameron Dukes.
Through four games this season the 25-year-old only averages 218.2 passing yards per game (seventh among starters), has thrown five interceptions (worst among starters) and has completed only five touchdowns (second fewest among starters).
When these teams matched up in Week 4, Toronto struggled to generate offence all night and Montreal won by 10, easily clearing the -5.5 spread.
Key stat: The Alouettes have covered the -5.5 spread nine times throughout their 13-game streak.
Quick picks
Elks -3.5 (-110): The Elks are primed for their first win at home against the Ottawa Redblacks.
To close out Week 6, I'm backing the winless Elks to get their first win.
Don't let Edmonton's record fool you, despite being 0-4 it has only lost by a combined 17 points to the four best teams in the league (Alouettes, Roughriders, Lions, and Argonauts).
The stats would indicate that Edmonton is better than its record suggests as well. It's averaging the fourth-most offensive yards per game (353.5), the third-fewest passing yards against per game (279.8), and has the second-highest second-down conversion rate (57.3%) in the CFL.
Meanwhile, Ottawa has struggled out of the gate and it could get worse with QB Dru Brown exiting last week's game after a late hit. Dustin Crum entered the game at quarterback and in limited action only completed eight passes for 102 yards.
The Redblacks' two wins on the year have come against lowly competition in the 1-4 Winnipeg Blue Bombers and 0-5 Hamilton Tiger-Cats.
Stampeders/Blue Bombers under 4.5 touchdowns (-104): I'm backing a low touchdown evening on Friday in Winnipeg.
Both of these offences fail to push the ball downfield and the numbers reflect that. Both teams are in the bottom half in yards per game, passing yards, and most importantly for this pick, touchdowns.
Also, the Stamps and Bombers are coming off dreadful offensive performances a week ago. Calgary only mustered 278 yards and Jake Maier completed 18 passes for a measly 106 yards.
Chris Streveler didn't do much better for Winnipeg either. He completed 13 passes for 127 yards and only putting up 25 points.
These teams matched up in Week 4 and only combined for 41 points and two touchdowns.
Picks made at 2:00 p.m. on 07/10/24.
