Barbora Krejcikova and Jasmine Paolini duel for supremacy at Wimbledon.
The pregame narrative: An unlikely final has unravelled in the women's side at the All England Club but these two women are very skilled and deserving of being here. I'm backing the Krejcikova to get the win in the final as the favourite.
Check out our Krejcikova vs. Paolini odds and best bet for the Wimbledon final on July 13.
Krejcikova vs. Paolini Wimbledon odds
Best bet: Krejcikova to win (-137)
Krejcikova has turned her year around at Wimbledon and she looks like a top player in the world on grass.
The Czech Republic native has cruised through the first six games of the tournament winning all sets but two.
Krejcikova won the only career meeting between these two in straight sets. She aced her counterpart seven times compared to the Italian's zero.
Years later, the serving advantage is still there.
The favourite has 20 aces heading into the final while Paolini has half of that with 10. There's reason to believe history may repeat itself in their second career meeting.
However, I think the real reason Krejcikova has been so effective comes in her ability to save break points. She's held 32-of-49 (65%) of said points allowing her to use that serve to full effect.
In contrast, Paolini has also lost only two sets but saved 26-of-46 breakpoints (57%) and has played the easier competition.
Krejcikova's last three matches were with players that were all ranked in the top 15 while the Italian's only opponent who shared that moniker was forced to retire when the match was even at one set a piece (the third set was tied 5-5).
I'm backing the 32nd-ranked player in the world to stun the tennis world and win the Wimbledon final.
Key stat: Krejcikova has a 12-3 record in games played against Paolini.
Picks made at 1:46 p.m. ET on 07/12/2024.
