Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest odds July 4: Who's the 2024 favourite with Joey Chestnut banned?

Joey Chestnut will not be participating in this year's Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest. Photo by Brittainy Newman/AP.

This year's Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest will see a new champion.

The latest: Joey Chestnut — the 16-time champion and world-recorder holder — is barred from defending his title. With the perennial favourite sidelined, it's fair to say the competition is wide open. Geoffrey Esper has long lived in Chestnut's shadow but has a chance to stake his claim on the throne.

Here are the latest Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest odds for the competition on July 4.

Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest odds

Check out the latest odds to win Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest. Click odds to add selection to betslip.

CompetitorBetting odds
Geoffrey Esper-137
James Webb+110
Nick Wehry+400
Patrick Bertoletti+1,000
Gideon Oji+1,200
Bartley Weaver IV+2,000
Darron Breeden+2,000
Derek Hendrickson+3,300
Darrien Thomas+4,000
Max Stanford+4,000
King Yamamoto+5,000
Nutthanon Loetphatphicha+5,000
Radim Dvoracek+5,000

A Fourth of July without Chestnut seems blasphemous.

Tom Brady, Wayne Gretzky, Tiger Woods and Serena Williams are all heralded as "GOATs" but none of them hold a candle to Chestnut's dominance.

The man's insatiable desire to devour tubed meats saw him win a record 16 titles, including eight straight from 2016-2023. Three years ago, Chestnut broke his own World Record by downing an ungodly 76 dogs in 10 minutes.

Nothing could stop him. Protestors, inclement weather, and scores of competitors were shooed away like gnats — until now.

In a shocking development, the King of Coney Island has been banned from the festivities after signing with Nathan's rival, plant-based Impossible Foods.

Chestnut's absence leaves a gaping hole — and someone has to fill it.

Esper finished runner-up in the last three contests and is the odds-on favourite to win. Two other eaters hold odds shorter than 10-to-1, including James Webb, who has been on the podium multiple times.

Best odds to win

The favourite: Geoffrey Esper (-137)

Esper has probably had many sleepless nights wondering where he'd be if Chestnut had decided to take up woodworking or finance instead of professional eating.

Now he gets to find out.

The Oxford, Mississippi native finished two dogs clear of Webb for second place last year and was six dogs clear of him in 2022.

Esper holds several Major League Eating records such as:

  • 281 chicken Wings in 12 minutes (2019)
  • 83 slices of pizza in 10 minutes (2018)
  • 23.75 pounds of strawberry shortcake in 8 minutes (2014)

Major League Eating's website describes Esper as "a quiet, industrious man who says very little but eats very much. It is said the first word he ever spoke was 'work.'"

If there ever was a time to secure professional eating's crown jewel, it's now.

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